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Level 10/10

Rarely's (Todos Santos Island)

Isla Todos Santos, Mexico
😮‍💨Hold-downs🏝️Remote🦈Sharks🪨Rocks

Rarely's is a second-tier big wave spot on Isla Todos Santos that breaks less frequently than Killers but offers quality big wave surfing when conditions align. Named for its infrequent perfection, the wave delivers rides in the 40-foot range on the biggest days, providing an alternative line for big wave surfers.

Rarely's (Todos Santos Island) surf forecast

Model forecast for swell, wind and tide.

10-Day Forecast
Today3
14
Poor
1.6m@15s
13km/h
Wed4
0
Poor
1.8m@13s
25km/h
Thu5
23
Poor
2.3m@9s
7km/h
Fri6
15
Poor
1.8m@15s
11km/h
Sat7
23
Poor
2.3m@13s
8km/h
Sun8
15
Poor
1.9m@12s
7km/h
Mon9
9
Poor
2.0m@13s
14km/h
Tue10
24
Poor
2.4m@12s
8km/h
Wed11
24
Poor
2.3m@11s
8km/h
Thu12
15
Poor
2.1m@15s
9km/h
5+ days out, less certain

Today's Conditions

Find Flights
Best session: MorningAM 8 km/h · PM 21 km/h · Tide at 10am (0.7m)
Swell
1.6m
WNW(292°)
Score: 1/25
Period
15s
Groundswell
Score: 4/25
Wind
13km/h
NNW(338°)
Score: 4/25
Weather
20°C
0.0mm2%
First light 5:35amSunrise 6:05amSunset 4:55pmLast light 5:25pm
Windswell
0.3m@2s
Secondary
0.9m
Confidence
100%

Location & Conditions

Loading map...
Swell1.6m @15s WNW in window
Wind13 km/h NNW onshore
SwellWind: Offshore Cross Onshore
Showing forecast for today · all day

Hourly Forecast, Tide & Strike Windows

Strike window: 6:41am–2:11pm · through lowIdeal tide: mid
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
°C
19°
19°
20°
21°
22°
20°
20°
21°
21°
21°
19°
20°
21°
21°
21°
21°
21°
22°
23°
22°
21°
22°
23°
23°
22°
22°
22°
23°
23°
22°
22°
22°
22°
22°
21°
21°
21°
21°
21°
21°
20°
20°
20°
21°
21°
20°
20°
20°
20°
20°
3m1.5
sec
16s
16s
15s
15s
15s
14s
14s
13s
13s
13s
10s
10s
9s
9s
9s
15s
16s
18s
17s
16s
12s
12s
12s
13s
13s
12s
12s
12s
12s
12s
13s
15s
12s
13s
13s
12s
12s
12s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
16s
16s
14s
14s
13s
swell
windkm/h
9g9
6g6
12g20
17g19
25g27
22g27
15g22
28g30
32g35
30g33
10g11
7g7
7g11
8g13
1g4
7g12
5g15
15g13
21g20
10g11
11g15
8g15
9g8
10g9
4g5
2g7
5g7
8g7
11g6
6g3
18g5
12g4
10g6
16g10
15g6
4g4
3g4
7g5
11g8
16g6
8g4
7g4
9g8
8g7
7g5
8g5
3g3
5g4
16g12
19g15
tidem
4:39am1.6m
10:25am0.7m
4:10pm1.5m
5:11am1.7m
11:20am0.5m
5:08pm1.5m
5:37am1.8m
12:06pm0.3m
6:00pm1.4m
6:03am1.8m
12:45pm0.1m
6:50pm1.4m
6:33am1.9m
1:26pm0.0m
7:38pm1.4m
12:42am0.6m
6:58am1.9m
2:00pm0.0m
8:20pm1.3m
1:06am0.7m
7:22am1.9m
2:33pm0.0m
9:00pm1.3m
1:35am0.8m
7:50am1.9m
3:11pm0.1m
9:43pm1.2m
1:57am0.8m
8:18am1.9m
3:51pm0.1m
10:30pm1.1m
2:21am0.9m
8:51am1.8m
Ideal tide (from tide preference)Strike windowNight

Tide times today

4:39 am
High · 1.55m
10:25 am
Low · 0.71m
4:10 pm
High · 1.52m
Times shown in spot-local time.

Strike Score Breakdown

14
Poor
Components
Swell Direction19/25
Swell Size1/25
Swell Period4/25
Wind4/25
Raw Score28/100
Adjustments
Wind History-1
💨 Gusty Wind-3
📉 Undersized Swell-10
🚫 Undersized Capmax 15
Adjusted Score14/100
Confidence
Multiplier×1.00
Final Score14

Plan Your Strike

Return flights to TIJ, departing today with a 5-day trip window.

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Swell Requirements

Optimal direction
WNW (300°)
Direction range
280° - 320°
Size range
4.5m - 12m
Ideal size
6.6m - 8.8m
Height multiplier
1.08×
Ideal period
19s+

Wind Requirements

Optimal direction
ESE (112°)
Offshore range
90° - 135°

Tide Requirements

Optimal tide
mid

Water temp

15°C

Wetsuit

4/3mm fullsuit

Difficulty

10/10

Crowd level

1/10

Access: Boat from Ensenada. On Todos Santos Island.

Frequently Asked Questions

What kind of wave is Rarely's (Todos Santos Island)?

Rarely's is a big-wave spot in Isla Todos Santos, Mexico, that mostly breaks right.

What swell works best at Rarely's (Todos Santos Island)?

Rarely's picks up swell from the W round to the NW, and it's best when it's coming straight out of the WNW. That's a tight window, so it needs the swell direction to line up. It starts working at around 4.5m and keeps going up to about 12m, with the sweet spot around 6.6 to 8.8m. Period matters too: aim for 19s or longer, as anything under 16s tends to be weak. These are the numbers our scoring uses, so treat them as a guide rather than a promise.

What wind is offshore at Rarely's (Todos Santos Island)?

An ESE wind is dead offshore at Rarely's, and anything from the E round to the SE keeps it clean. The morning is typically the best window, roughly 6am to 11am. Light winds from other directions can still be fine; strong offshores can make it hard to get into waves.

What tide is best at Rarely's (Todos Santos Island)?

Rarely's is at its best around mid tide.

When is the best time of year to surf Rarely's (Todos Santos Island)?

The most reliable run of swell at Rarely's comes Dec to Feb, through the northern winter. There's a second window in Mar and Nov too. Peak winter. Needs XXL swell.

How cold is the water at Rarely's (Todos Santos Island)?

The water at Rarely's averages around 15°C, so you'll want a 4/3mm fullsuit. It shifts a few degrees through the year, so check the season before you pack.

Is Rarely's (Todos Santos Island) good for beginners?

No. As a big-wave spot, it's strictly for experienced surfers. The lineup is usually quiet (crowd 1/10). Second tier big wave. Less consistent than Killers.

How do I get to Rarely's (Todos Santos Island)?

The nearest airport on our list is TIJ, then it's roughly a one-hour drive. From there you need a boat to reach the break (we estimate around $200 USD, but confirm with an operator). Boat from Ensenada. On Todos Santos Island.

What other surf spots are near Rarely's (Todos Santos Island)?

The closest breaks we track are Killers (Isla Todos Santos) (1.2 km), Thor's Hammer (Todos Santos Island) (2.0 km) and Urchins (Todos Santos Island) (2.4 km), handy when Rarely's isn't working. We track 5 spots around Isla Todos Santos in total.

Best Season

Peak: Dec, Jan, Feb

Secondary: Nov, Mar

Peak winter. Needs XXL swell.

Getting There

Airport
TIJ
Drive time
60 min
Boat required
$200
Data quality
verified

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