Beach
both
Level 5/10

Taylors Mistake

Christchurch, New Zealand
🌀Strong rips🪨Rocks👥Crowded

Taylors Mistake is Christchurch's premier surf beach—a sheltered bay on the Banks Peninsula that produces quality left and right peaks when the banks align and offshore winds groom the faces. The name supposedly comes from a ship captain's navigational error, but there's no mistake about the waves: when conditions coincide, Taylors delivers powerful, barreling peaks that rival anything in the South Island. The 25-minute drive from the city passes through earthquake-rebuilt suburbs and over the Port Hills, arriving at a beach that transforms Cantabrians into committed surfers despite water cold enough to make teeth chatter.

Taylors Mistake surf forecast

Model forecast for swell, wind and tide.

10-Day Forecast
Today20
0
Poor
0.2m@7s
26km/h
Mon21
7
Poor
0.4m@4s
10km/h
Tue22
15
Poor
0.2m@5s
10km/h
Wed23
0
Poor
0.2m@5s
22km/h
Thu24
5
Poor
0.2m@5s
7km/h
Fri25
15
Poor
0.1m@10s
9km/h
Sat26
23
Poor
0.3m@5s
7km/h
Sun27
17
Poor
0.3m@11s
31km/h
Mon28
15
Poor
0.2m@8s
13km/h
Tue29
15
Poor
0.1m@8s
15km/h
5+ days out, less certain

Today's Conditions

Find Flights
Best session: MorningAM 18 km/h · PM 20 km/h
Swell
0.2m
NE(56°)
Score: 1/25
Period
7s
Short period / windswell
Score: 4/25
Wind
26km/h
SW(220°)
Score: 1/25
Weather
10°C
0.0mm29%
First light 5:52amSunrise 6:22amSunset 6:22pmLast light 6:52pm
Windswell0.3m@2sSecondary0.1mConfidence
100%

Location & Conditions

Loading map...
0°45°90°135°180°225°270°315°NESW
Swell
Wind
Showing forecast for today

Hourly Forecast, Tide & Strike Windows

Strike window: 5:52–8:54am · risingStrike window: 1:00–6:52pm · through lowIdeal tide: 0.3–1.5m
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
°C
6°
10°
11°
11°
9°
8°
10°
13°
15°
15°
6°
7°
10°
10°
10°
4°
5°
6°
8°
7°
4°
10°
13°
13°
11°
6°
11°
12°
11°
9°
7°
11°
15°
16°
15°
3°
6°
9°
9°
8°
3°
8°
13°
13°
11°
6°
10°
15°
14°
12°
2m1.0
sec
7s
7s
7s
9s
3s
4s
3s
3s
3s
3s
3s
6s
7s
6s
4s
8s
5s
5s
5s
5s
5s
5s
5s
5s
5s
6s
10s
9s
11s
11s
5s
5s
5s
4s
6s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
10s
10s
10s
4s
6s
10s
10s
5s
8s
8s
swell
windkm/h
16g40
19g39
40g81
30g65
11g40
18g36
13g30
8g21
6g18
10g24
11g34
10g21
11g27
12g30
6g22
23g47
24g47
23g50
24g54
12g49
3g9
7g18
5g20
9g23
7g23
1g7
3g12
13g29
15g33
12g32
2g10
5g16
9g24
8g27
12g34
13g77
27g81
42g85
38g85
28g80
8g22
15g29
20g41
12g44
4g45
14g36
21g43
25g50
10g52
4g49
tidem
4:46am0.6m
11:00am1.8m
5:15pm0.6m
5:38am0.5m
11:54am1.8m
6:07pm0.5m
6:26am0.4m
12:33pm1.7m
7:01pm0.3m
12:56am1.5m
7:04am0.2m
1:17pm1.7m
7:42pm0.1m
1:40am1.5m
7:48am0.1m
2:01pm1.6m
8:17pm0.0m
2:21am1.5m
8:27am0.0m
2:42pm1.7m
8:54pm0.0m
3:07am1.6m
9:06am0.0m
3:30pm1.8m
9:32pm0.1m
3:51am1.9m
9:54am0.3m
4:10pm1.9m
10:19pm0.1m
4:37am2.0m
10:44am0.3m
4:50pm2.0m
5:18am1.9m
Ideal tideStrike windowNight

Tide times today

4:46 am
Low tide - 0.57m
11:00 am
High tide - 1.84m
5:15 pm
Low tide - 0.59m
Times shown in spot-local time.

Strike Score Breakdown

0
Poor
Components
Swell Direction16/25
Swell Size1/25
Swell Period4/25
Wind1/25
Raw Score22/100
Adjustments
🌊💨 Windswell-7
🌊 Tide+3
💨 Gusty Wind-5
⚠️ Weak Component-5
📉 Undersized Swell-10
⚖️ Penalty Stack Cap+2
🚫 Undersized Capmax 15
Adjusted Score0/100
Confidence
Multiplier×1.00
Final Score0
🌊💨 Windswell🌊 Mostly in the tide window

Plan Your Strike

Return flights to CHC, departing today with a 5-day trip window.

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Swell Requirements

Optimal direction
ENE (70°)
Direction range
40° - 110°
Size range
0.6m - 2.5m
Ideal size
1.5m - 2m
Height multiplier
0.90×
Ideal period
12s+

Wind Requirements

Optimal direction
W (270°)
Offshore range
240° - 300°

Tide Requirements

Optimal tide
all
Optimal range
0.3m - 1.5m

Water temp

13°C

Wetsuit

4/3mm fullsuit

Difficulty

5/10

Crowd level

6/10

👥 Spring Break (Sep 26Oct 12) — expect extra crowds

Access: Best surf in Christchurch. 25min from CBD.

Frequently Asked Questions

What tide is best at Taylors Mistake?

The Taylors Mistake profile favors the recorded tide range, ideally between 0.3m and 1.5m on the local tide chart. Compare this preference with the forecast tide and local conditions before choosing a session.

What wind direction is offshore at Taylors Mistake?

The Taylors Mistake profile uses wind from W (270°) as its preferred direction, with an offshore range of 240° to 300°. Wind speed matters too: light winds outside that range can still produce surfable conditions, while strong offshore winds can make takeoffs difficult.

What swell size and direction work best at Taylors Mistake?

The Taylors Mistake scoring profile favors swell from ENE (40° to 110°), a swell-height range of 0.6m to 2.5m, and a reference period of 12s. These are model inputs, not guaranteed breaking-wave heights or a promise that the surf will suit every ability.

When is the best time of year to surf Taylors Mistake?

The main season at Taylors Mistake is May-Aug. A secondary window runs Apr, Sep, Oct. Winter best (July peak). Clean waves 8% of time in July.

How do I get to Taylors Mistake?

The spot profile lists CHC as a nearby airport. The estimated road transfer is 25 minutes. Best surf in Christchurch. 25min from CBD.

What kind of wave is Taylors Mistake?

Taylors Mistake is a beach break, a peak with lefts and rights. Difficulty is rated 5/10.

Best Season

Peak: May-Aug

Secondary: Apr, Sep, Oct

Winter best (July peak). Clean waves 8% of time in July.

Getting There

Airport
CHC
Drive time
25 min
Data quality
verified

Plan a trip around Taylors Mistake

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Strike Log

Community Discussion