Beach
both
Level 5/10

Surf Bay

Stanley, Falkland Islands
🏝️Remote🌀Strong rips

Surf Bay in the Falkland Islands represents one of Earth's most unlikely surf destinations—a sub-Antarctic beach where South Atlantic storms produce waves that break with penguins waddling on shore and elephant seals hauled out nearby. The water is frigid (requiring serious exposure gear), the conditions are challenging, and the setting is utterly unlike anywhere else on Earth. The name "Surf Bay" suggests the waves have been noticed for a long time, though the surfing community here consists mainly of British military personnel and the occasional adventurous traveler. Genuinely unique.

Surf Bay surf forecast

Model forecast for swell, wind and tide.

10-Day Forecast
Today20
0
Poor
0.7m@8s
21km/h
Mon21
1
Poor
1.2m@10s
32km/h
Tue22
57
Fair
1.6m@11s
23km/h
Wed23
48
Fair
1.7m@13s
31km/h
Thu24
0
Poor
1.2m@11s
22km/h
Fri25
11
Poor
1.3m@11s
39km/h
Sat26
13
Poor
2.5m@11s
38km/h
Sun27
18
Poor
1.3m@9s
29km/h
Mon28
23
Poor
1.1m@9s
23km/h
Tue29
15
Poor
0.5m@9s
38km/h
Groomed 5+ days out, less certain

Today's Conditions

Find Flights
Best session: MorningAM 11 km/h · PM 30 km/h
Swell
0.7m
SSW(209°)
Score: 3/25
Period
8s
Short period / windswell
Score: 2/25
Wind
21km/h
SSE(162°)
Score: 1/25
Weather
5°C
0.0mm100%
First light 6:14amSunrise 6:44amSunset 6:45pmLast light 7:15pm
Windswell0.6m@3sSecondary0.3mConfidence
100%

Location & Conditions

Loading map...
0°45°90°135°180°225°270°315°NESW
Swell
Wind
Showing forecast for today

Hourly Forecast, Tide & Strike Windows

Strike window: 6:14am–7:15pm · through highIdeal tide: 0.5–2.0m
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
6am
9am
12pm
3pm
6pm
°C
5°
5°
5°
4°
3°
0°
1°
2°
2°
2°
1°
3°
5°
5°
5°
4°
5°
6°
8°
7°
4°
2°
2°
2°
2°
1°
4°
2°
2°
1°
1°
2°
2°
3°
3°
3°
5°
7°
8°
6°
4°
5°
7°
9°
6°
4°
4°
6°
7°
6°
4m2.0
sec
8s
8s
8s
8s
8s
10s
10s
10s
10s
10s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
13s
13s
13s
13s
13s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
11s
9s
9s
9s
9s
9s
9s
9s
9s
9s
9s
9s
9s
9s
9s
9s
swell
windkm/h
11g18
12g20
21g37
28g45
33g55
34g54
33g55
32g53
31g52
31g53
27g43
25g41
25g43
21g36
20g32
28g44
31g52
34g57
36g62
24g60
26g50
27g49
19g44
19g35
18g34
21g32
25g43
41g69
49g78
59g104
47g83
43g79
39g75
33g70
23g63
23g36
26g45
30g53
33g58
31g58
15g32
16g27
22g36
28g48
34g57
30g65
27g63
36g71
49g79
49g82
tidem
2:15am1.0m
12:30pm1.1m
8:38pm0.6m
3:18am1.0m
8:30am0.8m
2:30pm1.1m
9:21pm0.5m
4:04am1.1m
9:00am0.8m
3:20pm1.3m
10:10pm0.5m
4:43am1.2m
9:38am0.8m
4:03pm1.5m
4:57am1.3m
10:21am0.7m
4:36pm1.5m
5:23am1.4m
10:46am0.6m
5:05pm1.6m
5:30am1.4m
11:30am0.4m
5:40pm1.4m
5:57am1.2m
11:58am0.1m
6:17pm1.3m
6:25am1.2m
12:33pm0.0m
6:57pm1.3m
Ideal tideStrike windowNight

Tide times today

2:15 am
High tide - 1.01m
5:30 am
Low tide - 0.92m
12:30 pm
High tide - 1.14m
8:38 pm
Low tide - 0.56m
Times shown in spot-local time.

Strike Score Breakdown

0
Poor
Components
Swell Direction0/25
Swell Size3/25
Swell Period2/25
Wind1/25
Raw Score6/100
Adjustments
Wind History-1
🌊💨 Windswell-5
🌊 Tide+5
💨 Gusty Wind-5
⚠️ Weak Component-15
📉 Undersized Swell-10
⚖️ Penalty Stack Cap+10
🚫 Undersized Capmax 44
Adjusted Score0/100
Confidence
Multiplier×1.00
Final Score0
🌊💨 Windswell🌊 Optimal tide window

Plan Your Strike

Return flights to MPN, departing today with a 5-day trip window.

Search Flights on Skyscanner
See where's firing right nowToday's best waves worldwide, scored live
Free Strike Report

Know when South America is about to fire

Get the best strike windows in South America — and worldwide — in your inbox every Monday & Thursday. Live Strike Scores, the swell behind them, zero fluff.

Free forever. Two emails a week. Unsubscribe anytime.

For real surf travel

Get the full Surf Bay trip window

Pro unlocks the 10-day forecast window, unlimited alerts, and custom spot tracking that help turn a good-looking surf report into a better travel decision.

10-day window

See the trip window before flights get expensive.

Unlimited alerts

Let the app watch your score threshold for you.

Custom spots

Track the breaks that actually matter to your travel plans.

Swell Requirements

Optimal direction
ENE (70°)
Direction range
50° - 85°
Size range
1m - 3m
Ideal size
1.9m - 2.5m
Height multiplier
0.97×
Ideal period
14s+

Wind Requirements

Optimal direction
W (270°)
Offshore range
230° - 310°

Tide Requirements

Optimal tide
all
Optimal range
0.5m - 2m

Water temp

7°C

Wetsuit

6/5mm + boots, gloves, hood

Difficulty

5/10

Crowd level

1/10

Access: Near Stanley. Named for its surf.

Frequently Asked Questions

What tide is best at Surf Bay?

The Surf Bay profile favors the recorded tide range, ideally between 0.5m and 2m on the local tide chart. Compare this preference with the forecast tide and local conditions before choosing a session.

What wind direction is offshore at Surf Bay?

The Surf Bay profile uses wind from W (270°) as its preferred direction, with an offshore range of 230° to 310°. Wind speed matters too: light winds outside that range can still produce surfable conditions, while strong offshore winds can make takeoffs difficult.

What swell size and direction work best at Surf Bay?

The Surf Bay scoring profile favors swell from ENE (50° to 85°), a swell-height range of 1m to 3m, and a reference period of 14s. These are model inputs, not guaranteed breaking-wave heights or a promise that the surf will suit every ability.

When is the best time of year to surf Surf Bay?

The main season at Surf Bay is Oct, Nov, Dec, Jan, Feb, Mar. A secondary window runs Apr, Sep. Southern summer. Atlantic storms produce E swells.

How do I get to Surf Bay?

The spot profile lists MPN as a nearby airport. The estimated road transfer is 10 minutes. Near Stanley. Named for its surf.

What kind of wave is Surf Bay?

Surf Bay is a beach break, a peak with lefts and rights. Difficulty is rated 5/10.

Best Season

Peak: Oct, Nov, Dec, Jan, Feb, Mar

Secondary: Apr, Sep

Southern summer. Atlantic storms produce E swells.

Getting There

Airport
MPN
Drive time
10 min
Data quality
community

Strike Log

Community Discussion