Surf Forecast for Avoca Point
type: Dataset
description: 10-day surf forecast with Strike Scores for Avoca Point, Central Coast NSW, Australia
about: Avoca Point
  type: TouristAttraction
  geo: GeoCoordinates
    latitude: -33.4704
    longitude: 151.4369
  description: The jewel of the Central Coast - a right-hand point that peels along the southern rocks when solid ENE swells arrive. Long rides of 100+ metres are possible on the best days, drawing crowds from Sydney and beyond. The point section demands respect with its rocky takeoff zone, while the beach offers more forgiving peaks for those not ready for the main event.
summary:
  best day:
    date: 2026-08-14
    score: 42
    category: Poor
    explanation: Best day in the forecast: 2026-08-14 with a score of 42/100 (Poor)
  firing days count: 0
  overall recommendation: Poor conditions overall: Average score 21/100. Look for spots with better forecasts.
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-05
  day index: 0
  strike score:
    final score: 22
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 3
        out of: 25
        explanation: Poor alignment: Swell from 117° is 57° off optimal 60°, barely within workable range 45°-110°.
      swell size:
        score: 9
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 0.6m is below minimum 1.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
      swell period:
        score: 10
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate period: 10s meets minimum 9s but below ideal 12s. Some groundswell energy present.
      wind:
        score: 13
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 10 km/h from 269° (W). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 170°-240°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Avoca Point. Either swell direction (117°), size (0.6m), or wind (10 km/h from 269°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 0.6
      height ft: 2.0
      direction degrees: 117
      direction cardinal: ESE
      period s: 10
      explanation: 0.6m (2.0ft) swell from 117° (ESE) at 10s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 10
      speed mph: 6.2
      direction degrees: 269
      direction cardinal: W
      explanation: 10 km/h (6 mph) from 269° (W)
    secondary swell:
      height m: 0.4
      direction degrees: 163
      direction cardinal: SSE
      period s: 10
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-06
  day index: 1
  strike score:
    final score: 10
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 0
        out of: 25
        explanation: No alignment: Swell from 167° is outside workable range 45°-110°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
      swell size:
        score: 5
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 0.9m is below minimum 1.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
      swell period:
        score: 6
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate period: 9s meets minimum 9s but below ideal 12s. Some groundswell energy present.
      wind:
        score: 14
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 8 km/h from 296° (WNW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 170°-240°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Avoca Point. Either swell direction (167°), size (0.9m), or wind (8 km/h from 296°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 0.9
      height ft: 3.0
      direction degrees: 167
      direction cardinal: SSE
      period s: 9
      explanation: 0.9m (3.0ft) swell from 167° (SSE) at 9s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 8
      speed mph: 5.0
      direction degrees: 296
      direction cardinal: WNW
      explanation: 8 km/h (5 mph) from 296° (WNW)
    secondary swell:
      height m: 0.4
      direction degrees: 123
      direction cardinal: ESE
      period s: 9
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-07
  day index: 2
  strike score:
    final score: 18
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 0.95
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 0
        out of: 25
        explanation: No alignment: Swell from 169° is outside workable range 45°-110°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
      swell size:
        score: 3
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 0.8m is below minimum 1.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
      swell period:
        score: 10
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate period: 10s meets minimum 9s but below ideal 12s. Some groundswell energy present.
      wind:
        score: 20
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 7 km/h from 120° (ESE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 170°-240°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Avoca Point. Either swell direction (169°), size (0.8m), or wind (7 km/h from 120°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 0.8
      height ft: 2.6
      direction degrees: 169
      direction cardinal: S
      period s: 10
      explanation: 0.8m (2.6ft) swell from 169° (S) at 10s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 7
      speed mph: 4.3
      direction degrees: 120
      direction cardinal: ESE
      explanation: 7 km/h (4 mph) from 120° (ESE)
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-08
  day index: 3
  strike score:
    final score: 22
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 0.92
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 0
        out of: 25
        explanation: No alignment: Swell from 169° is outside workable range 45°-110°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
      swell size:
        score: 8
        out of: 25
        explanation: Marginal size: 1.0m is 1.0m from ideal 2.0m.
    summary: Poor conditions at Avoca Point. Either swell direction (169°), size (1.0m), or wind (7 km/h from 156°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
provider: Strike Mission
date published: 2026-08-05T03:09:14.600Z
temporal coverage: 2026-08-05/2026-08-14
data sources: Open-Meteo Marine API (swell/wave data)
data sources: Open-Meteo Weather API (wind/weather data)

score: 6
out of: 25
explanation: Moderate period: 9s meets minimum 9s but below ideal 12s. Some groundswell energy present.

score: 20
out of: 25
explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 7 km/h from 156° (SSE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 170°-240°.

wind history:
  adjustment: 0
  groomed: false
  morning sickness: false
  explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
windswell penalty:
  adjustment: 0
  windswell degraded: false
  explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
secondary swell bonus:
  adjustment: 0
  explanation: No secondary swell bonus.

swell:
  height m: 1
  height ft: 3.3
  direction degrees: 169
  direction cardinal: S
  period s: 9
  explanation: 1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 169° (S) at 9s period
wind:
  speed kmh: 7
  speed mph: 4.3
  direction degrees: 156
  direction cardinal: SSE
  explanation: 7 km/h (4 mph) from 156° (SSE)

date: 2026-08-09
day index: 4
strike score:
  final score: 19
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.89
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 15
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 76° is 16° off optimal 60°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 8
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.0m is 1.0m from ideal 2.0m.
    swell period:
      score: 6
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate period: 9s meets minimum 9s but below ideal 12s. Some groundswell energy present.
    wind:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 14 km/h from 2° (N). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 170°-240°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Avoca Point. Either swell direction (76°), size (1.0m), or wind (14 km/h from 2°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1
    height ft: 3.3
    direction degrees: 76
    direction cardinal: ENE
    period s: 9
    explanation: 1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 76° (ENE) at 9s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 14
    speed mph: 8.7
    direction degrees: 2
    direction cardinal: N
    explanation: 14 km/h (9 mph) from 2° (N)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 93
    direction cardinal: E
    period s: 7

date: 2026-08-10
day index: 5
strike score:
  final score: 36
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.86
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 24
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect alignment: Swell from 62° is within 5° of optimal 60°.
    swell size:
      score: 11
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.4m is 0.6m from ideal 2.0m.
    swell period:
      score: 10
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate period: 10s meets minimum 9s but below ideal 12s. Some groundswell energy present.
    wind:
      score: 1
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 21 km/h from 284° (WNW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 170°-240°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: -3
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Avoca Point. Either swell direction (62°), size (1.4m), or wind (21 km/h from 284°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.4
    height ft: 4.6
    direction degrees: 62
    direction cardinal: ENE
    period s: 10
    explanation: 1.4m (4.6ft) swell from 62° (ENE) at 10s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 21
    speed mph: 13.0
    direction degrees: 284
    direction cardinal: WNW
    explanation: 21 km/h (13 mph) from 284° (WNW)
  windswell:
    height m: 0.7
    period s: 3
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-11
day index: 6
strike score:
  final score: 10
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.83
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 0
      out of: 25
      explanation: No alignment: Swell from 176° is outside workable range 45°-110°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
    swell size:
      score: 11
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.4m is 0.6m from ideal 2.0m.
    swell period:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect period: 12s is at or above ideal 12s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
    wind:
      score: 1
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 18 km/h from 308° (NW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 170°-240°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: -10
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: true
      explanation: -10 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Avoca Point. Either swell direction (176°), size (1.4m), or wind (18 km/h from 308°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.4
    height ft: 4.6
    direction degrees: 176
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 12
    explanation: 1.4m (4.6ft) swell from 176° (S) at 12s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 18
    speed mph: 11.2
    direction degrees: 308
    direction cardinal: NW
    explanation: 18 km/h (11 mph) from 308° (NW)
  windswell:
    height m: 0.3
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-12
day index: 7
strike score:
  final score: 0
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 0
      out of: 25
      explanation: No alignment: Swell from 181° is outside workable range 45°-110°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
    swell size:
      score: 9
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.1m is 0.9m from ideal 2.0m.
    swell period:
      score: 10
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate period: 10s meets minimum 9s but below ideal 12s. Some groundswell energy present.
    wind:
      score: 1
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 21 km/h from 266° (W). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 170°-240°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: -7
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: true
      explanation: -7 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Avoca Point. Either swell direction (181°), size (1.1m), or wind (21 km/h from 266°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.1
    height ft: 3.6
    direction degrees: 181
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 10
    explanation: 1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 181° (S) at 10s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 21
    speed mph: 13.0
    direction degrees: 266
    direction cardinal: W
    explanation: 21 km/h (13 mph) from 266° (W)
  windswell:
    height m: 0.4
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-13
day index: 8
strike score:
  final score: 34
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 0
      out of: 25
      explanation: No alignment: Swell from 175° is outside workable range 45°-110°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
    swell size:
      score: 14
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.7m is 0.3m from ideal 2.0m.
    swell period:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect period: 13s is at or above ideal 12s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
    wind:
      score: 19
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate offshore: 13 km/h from 228° (SW). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: -14
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: true
      explanation: -14 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Avoca Point. Either swell direction (175°), size (1.7m), or wind (13 km/h from 228°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.7
    height ft: 5.6
    direction degrees: 175
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 13
    explanation: 1.7m (5.6ft) swell from 175° (S) at 13s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 13
    speed mph: 8.1
    direction degrees: 228
    direction cardinal: SW
    explanation: 13 km/h (8 mph) from 228° (SW)

date: 2026-08-14
day index: 9
strike score:
  final score: 42
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 0
      out of: 25
      explanation: No alignment: Swell from 168° is outside workable range 45°-110°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
    swell size:
      score: 17
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 2.0m is 0.0m from ideal 2.0m.
    swell period:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect period: 12s is at or above ideal 12s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
    wind:
      score: 19
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 8 km/h from 163° (SSE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 170°-240°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: -7
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: true
      explanation: -7 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Avoca Point. Either swell direction (168°), size (2.0m), or wind (8 km/h from 163°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 2
    height ft: 6.6
    direction degrees: 168
    direction cardinal: SSE
    period s: 12
    explanation: 2.0m (6.6ft) swell from 168° (SSE) at 12s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 8
    speed mph: 5.0
    direction degrees: 163
    direction cardinal: SSE
    explanation: 8 km/h (5 mph) from 163° (SSE)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 121
    direction cardinal: ESE
    period s: 7

Strike Mission
type: Organization