Surf Forecast for El Transito
type: Dataset
description: 10-day surf forecast with Strike Scores for El Transito, León, Nicaragua
about: El Transito
  type: TouristAttraction
  geo: GeoCoordinates
    latitude: 12.0506
    longitude: -86.7046
  description: El Transito is Nicaragua's exposed beachbreak discovery—an open-coast wave that picks up swell when other spots remain flat and delivers raw, uncrowded surf in a basic fishing village setting. The wave requires minimal swell to turn on thanks to its position on the coast, making it a reliable backup option during smaller periods. The atmosphere is pure rural Nicaragua: no fancy resorts, no surf camps, just local fishermen and the occasional traveling surfer who knows where to look. This is what surf exploration felt like before the crowds discovered Central America.
summary:
  best day:
    date: 2026-08-08
    score: 80
    category: Firing
    explanation: Best day in the forecast: 2026-08-08 with a score of 80/100 (Firing)
  firing days count: 1
  firing days:
    date: 2026-08-08
    score: 80
  overall recommendation: Moderate recommendation: El Transito has 1 Firing day(s) and 4 Good day(s). Worth considering.
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-04
  day index: 0
  strike score:
    final score: 51
    category: Fair
    category emoji: 😐
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 14
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 190° is 20° off optimal 210°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 10
        out of: 25
        explanation: Marginal size: 0.8m is 0.8m from ideal 1.6m.
      swell period:
        score: 8
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate period: 11s meets minimum 10s but below ideal 14s. Some groundswell energy present.
      wind:
        score: 23
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate offshore: 17 km/h from 73° (ENE). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 6
        groomed: true
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: +6 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Surfable but not special at El Transito. The 0.8m swell from 190° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 0.8
      height ft: 2.6
      direction degrees: 190
      direction cardinal: S
      period s: 11
      explanation: 0.8m (2.6ft) swell from 190° (S) at 11s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 17
      speed mph: 10.6
      direction degrees: 73
      direction cardinal: ENE
      explanation: 17 km/h (11 mph) from 73° (ENE)
    secondary swell:
      height m: 0.5
      direction degrees: 226
      direction cardinal: SW
      period s: 11
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-05
  day index: 1
  strike score:
    final score: 37
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 12
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 186° is 24° off optimal 210°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 9
        out of: 25
        explanation: Marginal size: 0.7m is 0.9m from ideal 1.6m.
      swell period:
        score: 2
        out of: 25
        explanation: Short period: 8s is below minimum 10s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
      wind:
        score: 22
        out of: 25
        explanation: Strong offshore: 20 km/h from 71° (ENE). Grooming but may make paddling difficult.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 6
        groomed: true
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: +6 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at El Transito. Either swell direction (186°), size (0.7m), or wind (20 km/h from 71°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 0.7
      height ft: 2.3
      direction degrees: 186
      direction cardinal: S
      period s: 8
      explanation: 0.7m (2.3ft) swell from 186° (S) at 8s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 20
      speed mph: 12.4
      direction degrees: 71
      direction cardinal: ENE
      explanation: 20 km/h (12 mph) from 71° (ENE)
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-06
  day index: 2
  strike score:
    final score: 45
    category: Fair
    category emoji: 😐
    confidence: 0.95
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 16
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 196° is 14° off optimal 210°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 9
        out of: 25
        explanation: Marginal size: 0.7m is 0.9m from ideal 1.6m.
      swell period:
        score: 6
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate period: 10s meets minimum 10s but below ideal 14s. Some groundswell energy present.
      wind:
        score: 22
        out of: 25
        explanation: Strong offshore: 20 km/h from 81° (E). Grooming but may make paddling difficult.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 6
        groomed: true
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: +6 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: -3
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Surfable but not special at El Transito. The 0.7m swell from 196° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 0.7
      height ft: 2.3
      direction degrees: 196
      direction cardinal: SSW
      period s: 10
      explanation: 0.7m (2.3ft) swell from 196° (SSW) at 10s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 20
      speed mph: 12.4
      direction degrees: 81
      direction cardinal: E
      explanation: 20 km/h (12 mph) from 81° (E)
    secondary swell:
      height m: 0.4
      direction degrees: 226
      direction cardinal: SW
      period s: 15
    windswell:
      height m: 0.3
      period s: 2
      explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-07
  day index: 3
  strike score:
    final score: 70
    category: Good
    category emoji: ✅
    confidence: 0.92
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    summary: Good surfable conditions at El Transito. 0.8m swell from 224° with moderate wind. Solid session guaranteed.
provider: Strike Mission
date published: 2026-08-04T23:47:37.969Z
temporal coverage: 2026-08-04/2026-08-13
data sources: Open-Meteo Marine API (swell/wave data)
data sources: Open-Meteo Weather API (wind/weather data)

swell direction:
  score: 16
  out of: 25
  explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 224° is 14° off optimal 210°, workable but not ideal.
swell size:
  score: 10
  out of: 25
  explanation: Marginal size: 0.8m is 0.8m from ideal 1.6m.
swell period:
  score: 25
  out of: 25
  explanation: Perfect period: 15s is at or above ideal 14s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
wind:
  score: 20
  out of: 25
  explanation: Strong offshore: 23 km/h from 75° (ENE). Grooming but may make paddling difficult.

wind history:
  adjustment: 6
  groomed: true
  morning sickness: false
  explanation: +6 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
windswell penalty:
  adjustment: -3
  windswell degraded: false
  explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
secondary swell bonus:
  adjustment: 0
  explanation: No secondary swell bonus.

swell:
  height m: 0.8
  height ft: 2.6
  direction degrees: 224
  direction cardinal: SW
  period s: 15
  explanation: 0.8m (2.6ft) swell from 224° (SW) at 15s period
wind:
  speed kmh: 23
  speed mph: 14.3
  direction degrees: 75
  direction cardinal: ENE
  explanation: 23 km/h (14 mph) from 75° (ENE)
secondary swell:
  height m: 0.4
  direction degrees: 184
  direction cardinal: S
  period s: 9
windswell:
  height m: 0.5
  period s: 3
  explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-08
day index: 4
strike score:
  final score: 80
  category: Firing
  category emoji: 🔥
  confidence: 0.89
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 22
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good alignment: Swell from 214° is 4° off optimal 210°, still within prime range.
    swell size:
      score: 12
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.1m is 0.4m from ideal 1.6m.
    swell period:
      score: 23
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good period: 13s is 93% of ideal 14s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
    wind:
      score: 21
      out of: 25
      explanation: Strong offshore: 21 km/h from 71° (ENE). Grooming but may make paddling difficult.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 6
      groomed: true
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: +6 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Excellent conditions at El Transito. The 1.1m swell from 214° aligns well with the spot, and offshore winds are grooming the face. Worth planning a trip around this.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.1
    height ft: 3.6
    direction degrees: 214
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 13
    explanation: 1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 214° (SW) at 13s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 21
    speed mph: 13.0
    direction degrees: 71
    direction cardinal: ENE
    explanation: 21 km/h (13 mph) from 71° (ENE)
  windswell:
    height m: 0.4
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-09
day index: 5
strike score:
  final score: 78
  category: Good
  category emoji: ✅
  confidence: 0.86
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 20
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good alignment: Swell from 217° is 7° off optimal 210°, still within prime range.
    swell size:
      score: 11
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.0m is 0.6m from ideal 1.6m.
    swell period:
      score: 23
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good period: 13s is 93% of ideal 14s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
    wind:
      score: 20
      out of: 25
      explanation: Strong offshore: 24 km/h from 71° (ENE). Grooming but may make paddling difficult.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 6
      groomed: true
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: +6 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Good surfable conditions at El Transito. 1.0m swell from 217° with moderate wind. Solid session guaranteed.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1
    height ft: 3.3
    direction degrees: 217
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 13
    explanation: 1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 217° (SW) at 13s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 24
    speed mph: 14.9
    direction degrees: 71
    direction cardinal: ENE
    explanation: 24 km/h (15 mph) from 71° (ENE)
  windswell:
    height m: 0.4
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-10
day index: 6
strike score:
  final score: 54
  category: Fair
  category emoji: 😐
  confidence: 0.83
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 22
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good alignment: Swell from 215° is 5° off optimal 210°, still within prime range.
    swell size:
      score: 10
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 0.8m is 0.8m from ideal 1.6m.
    swell period:
      score: 8
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate period: 11s meets minimum 10s but below ideal 14s. Some groundswell energy present.
    wind:
      score: 21
      out of: 25
      explanation: Strong offshore: 22 km/h from 69° (ENE). Grooming but may make paddling difficult.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 6
      groomed: true
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: +6 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: -3
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Surfable but not special at El Transito. The 0.8m swell from 215° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.8
    height ft: 2.6
    direction degrees: 215
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 11
    explanation: 0.8m (2.6ft) swell from 215° (SW) at 11s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 22
    speed mph: 13.7
    direction degrees: 69
    direction cardinal: ENE
    explanation: 22 km/h (14 mph) from 69° (ENE)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 219
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 15
  windswell:
    height m: 0.4
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-11
day index: 7
strike score:
  final score: 64
  category: Fair
  category emoji: 😐
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 20
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good alignment: Swell from 217° is 7° off optimal 210°, still within prime range.
    swell size:
      score: 9
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 0.7m is 0.9m from ideal 1.6m.
    swell period:
      score: 14
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate period: 12s meets minimum 10s but below ideal 14s. Some groundswell energy present.
    wind:
      score: 20
      out of: 25
      explanation: Strong offshore: 23 km/h from 70° (ENE). Grooming but may make paddling difficult.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 6
      groomed: true
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: +6 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: -3
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Surfable but not special at El Transito. The 0.7m swell from 217° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.7
    height ft: 2.3
    direction degrees: 217
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 12
    explanation: 0.7m (2.3ft) swell from 217° (SW) at 12s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 23
    speed mph: 14.3
    direction degrees: 70
    direction cardinal: ENE
    explanation: 23 km/h (14 mph) from 70° (ENE)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 221
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 16
  windswell:
    height m: 0.4
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-12
day index: 8
strike score:
  final score: 74
  category: Good
  category emoji: ✅
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 18
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 221° is 11° off optimal 210°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 8
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 0.6m is 1.0m from ideal 1.6m.
    swell period:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect period: 15s is at or above ideal 14s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
    wind:
      score: 22
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate offshore: 19 km/h from 72° (ENE). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 6
      groomed: true
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: +6 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: -3
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Good surfable conditions at El Transito. 0.6m swell from 221° with moderate wind. Solid session guaranteed.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.6
    height ft: 2.0
    direction degrees: 221
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 15
    explanation: 0.6m (2.0ft) swell from 221° (SW) at 15s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 19
    speed mph: 11.8
    direction degrees: 72
    direction cardinal: ENE
    explanation: 19 km/h (12 mph) from 72° (ENE)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.5
    direction degrees: 186
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 13
  windswell:
    height m: 0.3
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-13
day index: 9
strike score:
  final score: 70
  category: Good
  category emoji: ✅
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 13
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 189° is 21° off optimal 210°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 8
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 0.6m is 1.0m from ideal 1.6m.
    swell period:
      score: 23
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good period: 13s is 93% of ideal 14s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
    wind:
      score: 22
      out of: 25
      explanation: Strong offshore: 20 km/h from 69° (ENE). Grooming but may make paddling difficult.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 6
      groomed: true
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: +6 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Good surfable conditions at El Transito. 0.6m swell from 189° with moderate wind. Solid session guaranteed.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.6
    height ft: 2.0
    direction degrees: 189
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 13
    explanation: 0.6m (2.0ft) swell from 189° (S) at 13s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 20
    speed mph: 12.4
    direction degrees: 69
    direction cardinal: ENE
    explanation: 20 km/h (12 mph) from 69° (ENE)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 219
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 16

Strike Mission
type: Organization