Surf Forecast for Ours
type: Dataset
description: 10-day surf forecast with Strike Scores for Ours, Cape Solander, Australia
about: Ours
  type: TouristAttraction
  geo: GeoCoordinates
    latitude: -34.0333
    longitude: 151.2333
  description: Ours (Cape Fear) is Sydney's most notorious wave—a heavy right-hand slab that breaks over shallow rock in front of dramatic sea cliffs in Bra Boys territory. Made famous by the documentary of the same name, Ours is as much about the tribal localism as the wave itself. The slab produces thick, ledging barrels that detonate just meters from the cliff face. Getting in requires jumping off rocks; getting out is harder. It's dangerous, localized, and unforgiving—but the barrels are undeniably world-class.
summary:
  best day:
    date: 2026-08-14
    score: 28
    category: Poor
    explanation: Best day in the forecast: 2026-08-14 with a score of 28/100 (Poor)
  firing days count: 0
  overall recommendation: Poor conditions overall: Average score 11/100. Look for spots with better forecasts.
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-05
  day index: 0
  strike score:
    final score: 9
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 9
        out of: 25
        explanation: Poor alignment: Swell from 165° is 30° off optimal 135°, barely within workable range 100°-170°.
      swell size:
        score: 2
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 0.8m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
      swell period:
        score: 2
        out of: 25
        explanation: Short period: 11s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
      wind:
        score: 7
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate offshore: 15 km/h from 277° (W). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (165°), size (0.8m), or wind (15 km/h from 277°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 0.8
      height ft: 2.6
      direction degrees: 165
      direction cardinal: SSE
      period s: 11
      explanation: 0.8m (2.6ft) swell from 165° (SSE) at 11s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 15
      speed mph: 9.3
      direction degrees: 277
      direction cardinal: W
      explanation: 15 km/h (9 mph) from 277° (W)
    secondary swell:
      height m: 0.4
      direction degrees: 136
      direction cardinal: SE
      period s: 7
    windswell:
      height m: 0.3
      period s: 2
      explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-06
  day index: 1
  strike score:
    final score: 17
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 9
        out of: 25
        explanation: Poor alignment: Swell from 167° is 32° off optimal 135°, barely within workable range 100°-170°.
      swell size:
        score: 2
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 1.1m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
      swell period:
        score: 1
        out of: 25
        explanation: Short period: 9s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
      wind:
        score: 20
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate offshore: 10 km/h from 345° (NNW). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 6
        groomed: true
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: +6 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (167°), size (1.1m), or wind (10 km/h from 345°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 1.1
      height ft: 3.6
      direction degrees: 167
      direction cardinal: SSE
      period s: 9
      explanation: 1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 167° (SSE) at 9s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 10
      speed mph: 6.2
      direction degrees: 345
      direction cardinal: NNW
      explanation: 10 km/h (6 mph) from 345° (NNW)
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-07
  day index: 2
  strike score:
    final score: 15
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 0.95
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 10
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 163° is 28° off optimal 135°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 1
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 0.9m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
      swell period:
        score: 1
        out of: 25
        explanation: Short period: 9s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
      wind:
        score: 20
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 7 km/h from 14° (NNE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-360°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (163°), size (0.9m), or wind (7 km/h from 14°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 0.9
      height ft: 3.0
      direction degrees: 163
      direction cardinal: SSE
      period s: 9
      explanation: 0.9m (3.0ft) swell from 163° (SSE) at 9s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 7
      speed mph: 4.3
      direction degrees: 14
      direction cardinal: NNE
      explanation: 7 km/h (4 mph) from 14° (NNE)
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-08
  day index: 3
  strike score:
    final score: 17
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 0.92
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 9
        out of: 25
        explanation: Poor alignment: Swell from 166° is 31° off optimal 135°, barely within workable range 100°-170°.
      swell size:
        score: 2
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 1.0m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    summary: Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (166°), size (1.0m), or wind (6 km/h from 65°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
provider: Strike Mission
date published: 2026-08-05T03:09:13.701Z
temporal coverage: 2026-08-05/2026-08-14
data sources: Open-Meteo Marine API (swell/wave data)
data sources: Open-Meteo Weather API (wind/weather data)

score: 1
out of: 25
explanation: Short period: 8s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).

score: 18
out of: 25
explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 6 km/h from 65° (ENE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-360°.

wind history:
  adjustment: 0
  groomed: false
  morning sickness: false
  explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
windswell penalty:
  adjustment: 0
  windswell degraded: false
  explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
secondary swell bonus:
  adjustment: 0
  explanation: No secondary swell bonus.

swell:
  height m: 1
  height ft: 3.3
  direction degrees: 166
  direction cardinal: SSE
  period s: 8
  explanation: 1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 166° (SSE) at 8s period
wind:
  speed kmh: 6
  speed mph: 3.7
  direction degrees: 65
  direction cardinal: ENE
  explanation: 6 km/h (4 mph) from 65° (ENE)

date: 2026-08-09
day index: 4
strike score:
  final score: 0
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.89
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 0
      out of: 25
      explanation: No alignment: Swell from 69° is outside workable range 100°-170°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
    swell size:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 1.1m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Short period: 10s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
    wind:
      score: 13
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate offshore: 14 km/h from 349° (N). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (69°), size (1.1m), or wind (14 km/h from 349°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.1
    height ft: 3.6
    direction degrees: 69
    direction cardinal: ENE
    period s: 10
    explanation: 1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 69° (ENE) at 10s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 14
    speed mph: 8.7
    direction degrees: 349
    direction cardinal: N
    explanation: 14 km/h (9 mph) from 349° (N)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 137
    direction cardinal: SE
    period s: 9
  windswell:
    height m: 0.3
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-10
day index: 5
strike score:
  final score: 0
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.86
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 0
      out of: 25
      explanation: No alignment: Swell from 63° is outside workable range 100°-170°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
    swell size:
      score: 5
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 1.7m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Short period: 10s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
    wind:
      score: 15
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate offshore: 19 km/h from 288° (WNW). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (63°), size (1.7m), or wind (19 km/h from 288°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.7
    height ft: 5.6
    direction degrees: 63
    direction cardinal: ENE
    period s: 10
    explanation: 1.7m (5.6ft) swell from 63° (ENE) at 10s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 19
    speed mph: 11.8
    direction degrees: 288
    direction cardinal: WNW
    explanation: 19 km/h (12 mph) from 288° (WNW)
  windswell:
    height m: 0.6
    period s: 3
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-11
day index: 6
strike score:
  final score: 25
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.83
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 6
      out of: 25
      explanation: Poor alignment: Swell from 179° is 44° off optimal 135°, barely within workable range 100°-170°.
    swell size:
      score: 3
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 1.4m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 4
      out of: 25
      explanation: Short period: 12s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
    wind:
      score: 24
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate offshore: 15 km/h from 314° (NW). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (179°), size (1.4m), or wind (15 km/h from 314°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.4
    height ft: 4.6
    direction degrees: 179
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 12
    explanation: 1.4m (4.6ft) swell from 179° (S) at 12s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 15
    speed mph: 9.3
    direction degrees: 314
    direction cardinal: NW
    explanation: 15 km/h (9 mph) from 314° (NW)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 70
    direction cardinal: ENE
    period s: 8
  windswell:
    height m: 0.3
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-12
day index: 7
strike score:
  final score: 0
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 5
      out of: 25
      explanation: Poor alignment: Swell from 182° is 47° off optimal 135°, barely within workable range 100°-170°.
    swell size:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 1.1m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Short period: 10s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
    wind:
      score: 1
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 23 km/h from 268° (W). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-360°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: -3
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (182°), size (1.1m), or wind (23 km/h from 268°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.1
    height ft: 3.6
    direction degrees: 182
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 10
    explanation: 1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 182° (S) at 10s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 23
    speed mph: 14.3
    direction degrees: 268
    direction cardinal: W
    explanation: 23 km/h (14 mph) from 268° (W)
  windswell:
    height m: 0.6
    period s: 3
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-13
day index: 8
strike score:
  final score: 0
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 7
      out of: 25
      explanation: Poor alignment: Swell from 173° is 38° off optimal 135°, barely within workable range 100°-170°.
    swell size:
      score: 5
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 1.8m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 4
      out of: 25
      explanation: Short period: 13s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
    wind:
      score: 5
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 13 km/h from 218° (SW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-360°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: -10
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: true
      explanation: -10 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (173°), size (1.8m), or wind (13 km/h from 218°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.8
    height ft: 5.9
    direction degrees: 173
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 13
    explanation: 1.8m (5.9ft) swell from 173° (S) at 13s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 13
    speed mph: 8.1
    direction degrees: 218
    direction cardinal: SW
    explanation: 13 km/h (8 mph) from 218° (SW)
  windswell:
    height m: 0.3
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-14
day index: 9
strike score:
  final score: 28
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 9
      out of: 25
      explanation: Poor alignment: Swell from 167° is 32° off optimal 135°, barely within workable range 100°-170°.
    swell size:
      score: 8
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 2.0m is 1.5m from ideal 3.5m.
    swell period:
      score: 4
      out of: 25
      explanation: Short period: 12s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
    wind:
      score: 21
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate offshore: 10 km/h from 344° (NNW). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: -7
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: true
      explanation: -7 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (167°), size (2.0m), or wind (10 km/h from 344°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 2
    height ft: 6.6
    direction degrees: 167
    direction cardinal: SSE
    period s: 12
    explanation: 2.0m (6.6ft) swell from 167° (SSE) at 12s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 10
    speed mph: 6.2
    direction degrees: 344
    direction cardinal: NNW
    explanation: 10 km/h (6 mph) from 344° (NNW)

Strike Mission
type: Organization