10-day surf forecast with Strike Scores for Ours, Cape Solander, Australia
Ours (Cape Fear) is Sydney's most notorious wave—a heavy right-hand slab that breaks over shallow rock in front of dramatic sea cliffs in Bra Boys territory. Made famous by the documentary of the same name, Ours is as much about the tribal localism as the wave itself. The slab produces thick, ledging barrels that detonate just meters from the cliff face. Getting in requires jumping off rocks; getting out is harder. It's dangerous, localized, and unforgiving—but the barrels are undeniably world-class.
Best day in the forecast: 2026-08-14 with a score of 28/100 (Poor)
Poor conditions overall: Average score 11/100. Look for spots with better forecasts.
Poor alignment: Swell from 165° is 30° off optimal 135°, barely within workable range 100°-170°.
Too small: 0.8m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Short period: 11s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
Moderate offshore: 15 km/h from 277° (W). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (165°), size (0.8m), or wind (15 km/h from 277°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.8m (2.6ft) swell from 165° (SSE) at 11s period
Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)
Poor alignment: Swell from 167° is 32° off optimal 135°, barely within workable range 100°-170°.
Too small: 1.1m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Short period: 9s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
Moderate offshore: 10 km/h from 345° (NNW). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
+6 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (167°), size (1.1m), or wind (10 km/h from 345°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 167° (SSE) at 9s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 163° is 28° off optimal 135°, workable but not ideal.
Too small: 0.9m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Onshore/cross-shore: 7 km/h from 14° (NNE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-360°.
Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (163°), size (0.9m), or wind (7 km/h from 14°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.9m (3.0ft) swell from 163° (SSE) at 9s period
Poor alignment: Swell from 166° is 31° off optimal 135°, barely within workable range 100°-170°.
Too small: 1.0m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Short period: 8s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
Onshore/cross-shore: 6 km/h from 65° (ENE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-360°.
Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (166°), size (1.0m), or wind (6 km/h from 65°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 166° (SSE) at 8s period
No alignment: Swell from 69° is outside workable range 100°-170°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
Short period: 10s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
Moderate offshore: 14 km/h from 349° (N). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (69°), size (1.1m), or wind (14 km/h from 349°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 69° (ENE) at 10s period
No alignment: Swell from 63° is outside workable range 100°-170°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
Too small: 1.7m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Moderate offshore: 19 km/h from 288° (WNW). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (63°), size (1.7m), or wind (19 km/h from 288°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.7m (5.6ft) swell from 63° (ENE) at 10s period
Poor alignment: Swell from 179° is 44° off optimal 135°, barely within workable range 100°-170°.
Too small: 1.4m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Short period: 12s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
Moderate offshore: 15 km/h from 314° (NW). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (179°), size (1.4m), or wind (15 km/h from 314°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.4m (4.6ft) swell from 179° (S) at 12s period
Poor alignment: Swell from 182° is 47° off optimal 135°, barely within workable range 100°-170°.
Onshore/cross-shore: 23 km/h from 268° (W). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-360°.
Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (182°), size (1.1m), or wind (23 km/h from 268°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 182° (S) at 10s period
Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
Poor alignment: Swell from 173° is 38° off optimal 135°, barely within workable range 100°-170°.
Too small: 1.8m is below minimum 2.0m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Short period: 13s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
Onshore/cross-shore: 13 km/h from 218° (SW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-360°.
-10 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (173°), size (1.8m), or wind (13 km/h from 218°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.8m (5.9ft) swell from 173° (S) at 13s period
Marginal size: 2.0m is 1.5m from ideal 3.5m.
Moderate offshore: 10 km/h from 344° (NNW). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
-7 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
Poor conditions at Ours. Either swell direction (167°), size (2.0m), or wind (10 km/h from 344°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
2.0m (6.6ft) swell from 167° (SSE) at 12s period
Open-Meteo Weather API (wind/weather data)