10-day surf forecast with Strike Scores for Ponta Negra, Natal, RN, Brazil
Ponta Negra is Natal's main surf beach, an urban stretch of sand backed by the iconic Morro do Careca dune. The beach offers multiple peaks suitable for all levels, with the best waves typically found near the rocky sections. The city's surf scene is centered here, with plenty of surf schools, shops, and beach bars. The warm water and consistent waves make it an ideal learning destination.
Best day in the forecast: 2026-08-09 with a score of 41/100 (Poor)
Poor conditions overall: Average score 26/100. Look for spots with better forecasts.
Moderate alignment: Swell from 97° is 15° off optimal 112°, workable but not ideal.
Marginal size: 1.2m is 0.3m from ideal 1.4m.
Moderate period: 10s meets minimum 8s but below ideal 12s. Some groundswell energy present.
Onshore/cross-shore: 20 km/h from 145° (SE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 157°-247°.
Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
Poor conditions at Ponta Negra. Either swell direction (97°), size (1.2m), or wind (20 km/h from 145°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.2m (3.9ft) swell from 97° (E) at 10s period
Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)
Moderate alignment: Swell from 95° is 17° off optimal 112°, workable but not ideal.
Perfect period: 13s is at or above ideal 12s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
Onshore/cross-shore: 21 km/h from 146° (SE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 157°-247°.
Poor conditions at Ponta Negra. Either swell direction (95°), size (1.2m), or wind (21 km/h from 146°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.2m (3.9ft) swell from 95° (E) at 13s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 91° is 21° off optimal 112°, workable but not ideal.
Marginal size: 1.0m is 0.4m from ideal 1.4m.
Good period: 11s is 92% of ideal 12s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
Onshore/cross-shore: 18 km/h from 129° (SE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 157°-247°.
-10 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
Poor conditions at Ponta Negra. Either swell direction (91°), size (1.0m), or wind (18 km/h from 129°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 91° (E) at 11s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 92° is 20° off optimal 112°, workable but not ideal.
Too small: 0.8m is below minimum 0.9m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Onshore/cross-shore: 18 km/h from 113° (ESE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 157°-247°.
-7 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
Poor conditions at Ponta Negra. Either swell direction (92°), size (0.8m), or wind (18 km/h from 113°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.8m (2.6ft) swell from 92° (E) at 10s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 85° is 27° off optimal 112°, workable but not ideal.
Perfect period: 12s is at or above ideal 12s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
Onshore/cross-shore: 16 km/h from 115° (ESE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 157°-247°.
Poor conditions at Ponta Negra. Either swell direction (85°), size (0.8m), or wind (16 km/h from 115°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.8m (2.6ft) swell from 85° (E) at 12s period
Onshore/cross-shore: 16 km/h from 118° (ESE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 157°-247°.
Poor conditions at Ponta Negra. Either swell direction (97°), size (1.2m), or wind (16 km/h from 118°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.2m (3.9ft) swell from 97° (E) at 11s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 96° is 16° off optimal 112°, workable but not ideal.
Onshore/cross-shore: 18 km/h from 131° (SE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 157°-247°.
Poor conditions at Ponta Negra. Either swell direction (96°), size (1.2m), or wind (18 km/h from 131°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.2m (3.9ft) swell from 96° (E) at 10s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 103° is 9° off optimal 112°, workable but not ideal.
Onshore/cross-shore: 21 km/h from 150° (SSE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 157°-247°.
Poor conditions at Ponta Negra. Either swell direction (103°), size (1.0m), or wind (21 km/h from 150°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 103° (ESE) at 10s period
Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
Good alignment: Swell from 109° is 3° off optimal 112°, still within prime range.
Too small: 0.7m is below minimum 0.9m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Onshore/cross-shore: 23 km/h from 150° (SSE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 157°-247°.
-7 points: Short-period windswell is present, creating choppy, disorganized conditions.
Poor conditions at Ponta Negra. Either swell direction (109°), size (0.7m), or wind (23 km/h from 150°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.7m (2.3ft) swell from 109° (ESE) at 10s period
Marginal size: 0.9m is 0.5m from ideal 1.4m.
Onshore/cross-shore: 22 km/h from 148° (SSE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 157°-247°.
-17 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
-5 points: Short-period windswell is present, creating choppy, disorganized conditions.
Poor conditions at Ponta Negra. Either swell direction (109°), size (0.9m), or wind (22 km/h from 148°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.9m (3.0ft) swell from 109° (ESE) at 10s period
Open-Meteo Weather API (wind/weather data)