10-day surf forecast with Strike Scores for São Conrado, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
São Conrado is one of Rio's best-kept secrets, a beach break beneath the dramatic Pedra da Gávea that Rob Machado once called his favorite wave in the city. The "Pepê" section produces fast, hollow A-frames that barrel over the sandy bottom, rewarding quick reflexes and committed tube riding. The beach is also the landing zone for hang gliders jumping off the mountain above, adding to the surreal Rio experience.
Best day in the forecast: 2026-08-04 with a score of 64/100 (Fair)
Poor conditions overall: Average score 47/100. Look for spots with better forecasts.
Moderate alignment: Swell from 165° is 23° off optimal 142°, workable but not ideal.
Too small: 0.8m is below minimum 0.9m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Perfect period: 12s is at or above ideal 12s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
Onshore/cross-shore: 5 km/h from 72° (ENE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 315°-67°.
Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
Surfable but not special at São Conrado. The 0.8m swell from 165° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
0.8m (2.6ft) swell from 165° (SSE) at 12s period
Poor alignment: Swell from 182° is 40° off optimal 142°, barely within workable range 120°-187°.
Marginal size: 1.2m is 0.5m from ideal 1.7m.
Perfect period: 13s is at or above ideal 12s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
Light offshore: 8 km/h from 18° (NNE). Grooming the wave face beautifully.
Surfable but not special at São Conrado. The 1.2m swell from 182° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
1.2m (3.9ft) swell from 182° (S) at 13s period
Poor alignment: Swell from 102° is 40° off optimal 142°, barely within workable range 120°-187°.
Marginal size: 1.0m is 0.7m from ideal 1.7m.
Moderate period: 9s meets minimum 8s but below ideal 12s. Some groundswell energy present.
Light offshore: 7 km/h from 357° (N). Grooming the wave face beautifully.
Poor conditions at São Conrado. Either swell direction (102°), size (1.0m), or wind (7 km/h from 357°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 102° (ESE) at 9s period
Poor alignment: Swell from 99° is 43° off optimal 142°, barely within workable range 120°-187°.
Too small: 0.7m is below minimum 0.9m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Moderate period: 10s meets minimum 8s but below ideal 12s. Some groundswell energy present.
Moderate offshore: 12 km/h from 322° (NW). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
Poor conditions at São Conrado. Either swell direction (99°), size (0.7m), or wind (12 km/h from 322°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.7m (2.3ft) swell from 99° (E) at 10s period
Poor alignment: Swell from 172° is 30° off optimal 142°, barely within workable range 120°-187°.
Marginal size: 1.1m is 0.6m from ideal 1.7m.
Onshore/cross-shore: 7 km/h from 88° (E). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 315°-67°.
Surfable but not special at São Conrado. The 1.1m swell from 172° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 172° (S) at 10s period
Poor alignment: Swell from 190° is 48° off optimal 142°, barely within workable range 120°-187°.
Good size: 1.9m is within 15% of ideal 1.7m.
Perfect period: 14s is at or above ideal 12s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
Onshore/cross-shore: 14 km/h from 298° (WNW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 315°-67°.
Surfable but not special at São Conrado. The 1.9m swell from 190° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
1.9m (6.2ft) swell from 190° (S) at 14s period
Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)
Poor alignment: Swell from 192° is 50° off optimal 142°, barely within workable range 120°-187°.
Marginal size: 1.8m is 0.1m from ideal 1.7m.
Onshore/cross-shore: 8 km/h from 133° (SE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 315°-67°.
Surfable but not special at São Conrado. The 1.8m swell from 192° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
1.8m (5.9ft) swell from 192° (SSW) at 10s period
Poor alignment: Swell from 191° is 49° off optimal 142°, barely within workable range 120°-187°.
Too big: 3.3m exceeds maximum 2.5m. Risk of closeouts.
Onshore/cross-shore: 16 km/h from 193° (SSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 315°-67°.
Poor conditions at São Conrado. Either swell direction (191°), size (3.3m), or wind (16 km/h from 193°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
3.3m (10.8ft) swell from 191° (S) at 12s period
Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
Too big: 2.8m exceeds maximum 2.5m. Risk of closeouts.
Good period: 11s is 92% of ideal 12s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
Onshore/cross-shore: 6 km/h from 157° (SSE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 315°-67°.
Surfable but not special at São Conrado. The 2.8m swell from 192° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
2.8m (9.2ft) swell from 192° (SSW) at 11s period
Poor alignment: Swell from 185° is 43° off optimal 142°, barely within workable range 120°-187°.
Marginal size: 2.5m is 0.8m from ideal 1.7m.
Onshore/cross-shore: 9 km/h from 76° (ENE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 315°-67°.
Surfable but not special at São Conrado. The 2.5m swell from 185° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
2.5m (8.2ft) swell from 185° (S) at 13s period
Open-Meteo Weather API (wind/weather data)