10-day surf forecast with Strike Scores for Strickland Bay, Rottnest Island, Australia
Strickland Bay is Rottnest Island's premier wave—a quality left-hander that breaks along a limestone reef shelf off Western Australia's quokka-inhabited island paradise. The wave offers long walls with occasional barrel sections, working through a wide range of swell sizes. Access is via a 25-minute ferry from Fremantle, and there are no cars on the island—you bike, walk, or catch the bus. The isolation from the mainland, clear water, and lack of crowds (by Perth standards) make Strickland a special escape. Watch for sharks and quokkas.
Best day in the forecast: 2026-08-14 with a score of 51/100 (Fair)
Poor conditions overall: Average score 32/100. Look for spots with better forecasts.
Moderate alignment: Swell from 236° is 21° off optimal 215°, workable but not ideal.
Too big: 4.2m exceeds maximum 3.5m. Risk of closeouts.
Perfect period: 16s is at or above ideal 14s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
Onshore/cross-shore: 10 km/h from 321° (NW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 0°-90°.
-10 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
Surfable but not special at Strickland Bay. The 4.2m swell from 236° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
4.2m (13.8ft) swell from 236° (SW) at 16s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 240° is 25° off optimal 215°, workable but not ideal.
Too big: 4.3m exceeds maximum 3.5m. Risk of closeouts.
Onshore/cross-shore: 20 km/h from 308° (NW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 0°-90°.
-7 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
Poor conditions at Strickland Bay. Either swell direction (240°), size (4.3m), or wind (20 km/h from 308°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
4.3m (14.1ft) swell from 240° (WSW) at 16s period
Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)
Moderate alignment: Swell from 239° is 24° off optimal 215°, workable but not ideal.
Too big: 4.1m exceeds maximum 3.5m. Risk of closeouts.
Perfect period: 15s is at or above ideal 14s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
Onshore/cross-shore: 28 km/h from 243° (WSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 0°-90°.
Poor conditions at Strickland Bay. Either swell direction (239°), size (4.1m), or wind (28 km/h from 243°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
4.1m (13.5ft) swell from 239° (WSW) at 15s period
Too big: 5.5m exceeds maximum 3.5m. Risk of closeouts.
Perfect period: 14s is at or above ideal 14s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
Onshore/cross-shore: 51 km/h from 219° (SW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 0°-90°.
Poor conditions at Strickland Bay. Either swell direction (239°), size (5.5m), or wind (51 km/h from 219°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
5.5m (18.0ft) swell from 239° (WSW) at 14s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 231° is 16° off optimal 215°, workable but not ideal.
Too big: 4.7m exceeds maximum 3.5m. Risk of closeouts.
Good period: 17s is 121% of ideal 14s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
Onshore/cross-shore: 18 km/h from 331° (NNW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 0°-90°.
-17 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
Poor conditions at Strickland Bay. Either swell direction (231°), size (4.7m), or wind (18 km/h from 331°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
4.7m (15.4ft) swell from 231° (SW) at 17s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 224° is 9° off optimal 215°, workable but not ideal.
Too big: 4.0m exceeds maximum 3.5m. Risk of closeouts.
Onshore/cross-shore: 48 km/h from 218° (SW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 0°-90°.
-11 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
Poor conditions at Strickland Bay. Either swell direction (224°), size (4.0m), or wind (48 km/h from 218°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
4.0m (13.1ft) swell from 224° (SW) at 14s period
Good alignment: Swell from 222° is 7° off optimal 215°, still within prime range.
Too big: 6.2m exceeds maximum 3.5m. Risk of closeouts.
Onshore/cross-shore: 30 km/h from 208° (SSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 0°-90°.
-14 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
Poor conditions at Strickland Bay. Either swell direction (222°), size (6.2m), or wind (30 km/h from 208°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
6.2m (20.3ft) swell from 222° (SW) at 15s period
Onshore/cross-shore: 18 km/h from 346° (NNW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 0°-90°.
Poor conditions at Strickland Bay. Either swell direction (222°), size (4.0m), or wind (18 km/h from 346°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
4.0m (13.1ft) swell from 222° (SW) at 16s period
Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
Moderate alignment: Swell from 223° is 8° off optimal 215°, workable but not ideal.
Good size: 3.0m is within 15% of ideal 2.3m.
Onshore/cross-shore: 25 km/h from 336° (NNW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 0°-90°.
Surfable but not special at Strickland Bay. The 3.0m swell from 223° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
3.0m (9.8ft) swell from 223° (SW) at 17s period
Poor alignment: Swell from 248° is 33° off optimal 215°, barely within workable range 190°-250°.
Marginal size: 2.4m is 0.1m from ideal 2.3m.
Onshore/cross-shore: 11 km/h from 104° (ESE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 0°-90°.
Surfable but not special at Strickland Bay. The 2.4m swell from 248° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
2.4m (7.9ft) swell from 248° (WSW) at 16s period
Open-Meteo Weather API (wind/weather data)