10-day surf forecast with Strike Scores for Praia do Tonel, Sagres, Portugal
Praia do Tonel is where Europe ends—a dramatic beach break beneath the historic Sagres Fortress at the southwestern tip of the continent where Prince Henry the Navigator once plotted explorations. The wave offers a fun left point and beach break peaks in a setting of incomparable beauty and historical weight. Less crowded than Portugal's more famous northern breaks, Tonel rewards those who venture to the Algarve's wild west coast with quality waves and the sense of surfing at the edge of the known world. The sunsets here, as the Atlantic stretches toward America, are unforgettable.
Best day in the forecast: 2026-08-04 with a score of 21/100 (Poor)
Poor conditions overall: Average score 6/100. Look for spots with better forecasts.
Perfect alignment: Swell from 289° is within 5° of optimal 290°.
Marginal size: 1.0m is 0.9m from ideal 1.9m.
Short period: 7s is below minimum 9s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
Onshore/cross-shore: 11 km/h from 319° (NW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
-11 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
Poor conditions at Praia do Tonel. Either swell direction (289°), size (1.0m), or wind (11 km/h from 319°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 289° (WNW) at 7.2s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 310° is 20° off optimal 290°, workable but not ideal.
Too small: 0.7m is below minimum 0.8m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Moderate period: 11s meets minimum 9s but below ideal 14s. Some groundswell energy present.
Onshore/cross-shore: 21 km/h from 341° (NNW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Poor conditions at Praia do Tonel. Either swell direction (310°), size (0.7m), or wind (21 km/h from 341°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.7m (2.3ft) swell from 310° (NW) at 10.5s period
Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)
Poor alignment: Swell from 325° is 35° off optimal 290°, barely within workable range 250°-330°.
Short period: 8s is below minimum 9s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
Onshore/cross-shore: 28 km/h from 345° (NNW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
-10 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
-10 points: Short-period windswell is present, creating choppy, disorganized conditions.
Poor conditions at Praia do Tonel. Either swell direction (325°), size (0.7m), or wind (28 km/h from 345°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.7m (2.3ft) swell from 325° (NW) at 7.6s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 319° is 29° off optimal 290°, workable but not ideal.
Marginal size: 0.8m is 1.1m from ideal 1.9m.
Short period: 9s is below minimum 9s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
Onshore/cross-shore: 25 km/h from 345° (NNW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
-17 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
-5 points: Short-period windswell is present, creating choppy, disorganized conditions.
Poor conditions at Praia do Tonel. Either swell direction (319°), size (0.8m), or wind (25 km/h from 345°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.8m (2.6ft) swell from 319° (NW) at 8.5s period
Good alignment: Swell from 287° is 3° off optimal 290°, still within prime range.
Too small: 0.5m is below minimum 0.8m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Moderate period: 10s meets minimum 9s but below ideal 14s. Some groundswell energy present.
Onshore/cross-shore: 21 km/h from 338° (NNW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
-21 points: Previous days of onshore wind left residual chop ("morning sickness"), reducing wave quality.
Poor conditions at Praia do Tonel. Either swell direction (287°), size (0.5m), or wind (21 km/h from 338°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.5m (1.6ft) swell from 287° (WNW) at 10s period
Good alignment: Swell from 288° is 2° off optimal 290°, still within prime range.
Moderate period: 9s meets minimum 9s but below ideal 14s. Some groundswell energy present.
Onshore/cross-shore: 20 km/h from 334° (NNW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Poor conditions at Praia do Tonel. Either swell direction (288°), size (1.0m), or wind (20 km/h from 334°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 288° (WNW) at 9s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 304° is 14° off optimal 290°, workable but not ideal.
Marginal size: 1.1m is 0.8m from ideal 1.9m.
Onshore/cross-shore: 19 km/h from 329° (NNW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Poor conditions at Praia do Tonel. Either swell direction (304°), size (1.1m), or wind (19 km/h from 329°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 304° (NW) at 8s period
Poor alignment: Swell from 326° is 36° off optimal 290°, barely within workable range 250°-330°.
Onshore/cross-shore: 12 km/h from 318° (NW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Poor conditions at Praia do Tonel. Either swell direction (326°), size (0.7m), or wind (12 km/h from 318°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.7m (2.3ft) swell from 326° (NW) at 8s period
Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
Good alignment: Swell from 295° is 5° off optimal 290°, still within prime range.
Marginal size: 0.9m is 1.0m from ideal 1.9m.
Onshore/cross-shore: 24 km/h from 348° (NNW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Poor conditions at Praia do Tonel. Either swell direction (295°), size (0.9m), or wind (24 km/h from 348°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.9m (3.0ft) swell from 295° (WNW) at 10s period
Good alignment: Swell from 283° is 7° off optimal 290°, still within prime range.
Onshore/cross-shore: 26 km/h from 347° (NNW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Poor conditions at Praia do Tonel. Either swell direction (283°), size (1.0m), or wind (26 km/h from 347°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 283° (WNW) at 9s period
Open-Meteo Weather API (wind/weather data)