Surf Forecast for Punta Pequena (Scorpion Bay)
type: Dataset
description: 10-day surf forecast with Strike Scores for Punta Pequena (Scorpion Bay), San Juanico, Mexico
about: Punta Pequena (Scorpion Bay)
  type: TouristAttraction
  geo: GeoCoordinates
    latitude: 26.2167
    longitude: -112.485
  description: Punta Pequena lies beyond Fourth Point in the Scorpion Bay system, rarely surfed on its own but occasionally reached on epic connecting rides. It represents the outer limits of the legendary point system, where only the longest swells and most determined surfers venture.
summary:
  best day:
    date: 2026-08-07
    score: 30
    category: Poor
    explanation: Best day in the forecast: 2026-08-07 with a score of 30/100 (Poor)
  firing days count: 0
  overall recommendation: Poor conditions overall: Average score 24/100. Look for spots with better forecasts.
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-04
  day index: 0
  strike score:
    final score: 0
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 0
        out of: 25
        explanation: No alignment: Swell from 263° is outside workable range 180°-215°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
      swell size:
        score: 2
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 0.6m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
      swell period:
        score: 4
        out of: 25
        explanation: Short period: 11s is below minimum 12s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
      wind:
        score: 10
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 12 km/h from 253° (WSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-315°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Punta Pequena (Scorpion Bay). Either swell direction (263°), size (0.6m), or wind (12 km/h from 253°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 0.6
      height ft: 2.0
      direction degrees: 263
      direction cardinal: W
      period s: 11
      explanation: 0.6m (2.0ft) swell from 263° (W) at 11s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 12
      speed mph: 7.5
      direction degrees: 253
      direction cardinal: WSW
      explanation: 12 km/h (7 mph) from 253° (WSW)
    secondary swell:
      height m: 0.4
      direction degrees: 256
      direction cardinal: WSW
      period s: 11
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-05
  day index: 1
  strike score:
    final score: 17
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 7
        out of: 25
        explanation: Poor alignment: Swell from 237° is 40° off optimal 197°, barely within workable range 180°-215°.
      swell size:
        score: 2
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 0.6m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
      swell period:
        score: 10
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate period: 13s meets minimum 12s but below ideal 15s. Some groundswell energy present.
      wind:
        score: 9
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 13 km/h from 263° (W). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-315°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Punta Pequena (Scorpion Bay). Either swell direction (237°), size (0.6m), or wind (13 km/h from 263°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 0.6
      height ft: 2.0
      direction degrees: 237
      direction cardinal: WSW
      period s: 13
      explanation: 0.6m (2.0ft) swell from 237° (WSW) at 13s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 13
      speed mph: 8.1
      direction degrees: 263
      direction cardinal: W
      explanation: 13 km/h (8 mph) from 263° (W)
    secondary swell:
      height m: 0.4
      direction degrees: 267
      direction cardinal: W
      period s: 8
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-06
  day index: 2
  strike score:
    final score: 15
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 0.95
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 13
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 217° is 20° off optimal 197°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 1
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 0.5m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
      swell period:
        score: 21
        out of: 25
        explanation: Good period: 14s is 93% of ideal 15s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
      wind:
        score: 24
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate offshore: 14 km/h from 274° (W). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Punta Pequena (Scorpion Bay). Either swell direction (217°), size (0.5m), or wind (14 km/h from 274°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 0.5
      height ft: 1.6
      direction degrees: 217
      direction cardinal: SW
      period s: 14
      explanation: 0.5m (1.6ft) swell from 217° (SW) at 14s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 14
      speed mph: 8.7
      direction degrees: 274
      direction cardinal: W
      explanation: 14 km/h (9 mph) from 274° (W)
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-07
  day index: 3
  strike score:
    final score: 30
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 0.92
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 15
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 212° is 15° off optimal 197°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 2
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 0.7m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    summary: Poor conditions at Punta Pequena (Scorpion Bay). Either swell direction (212°), size (0.7m), or wind (16 km/h from 266°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
provider: Strike Mission
date published: 2026-08-05T01:20:06.514Z
temporal coverage: 2026-08-04/2026-08-13
data sources: Open-Meteo Marine API (swell/wave data)
data sources: Open-Meteo Weather API (wind/weather data)

score: 21
out of: 25
explanation: Good period: 14s is 93% of ideal 15s. Clean, powerful groundswell.

score: 5
out of: 25
explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 16 km/h from 266° (W). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-315°.

wind history:
  adjustment: 0
  groomed: false
  morning sickness: false
  explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
windswell penalty:
  adjustment: -5
  windswell degraded: true
  explanation: -5 points: Short-period windswell is present, creating choppy, disorganized conditions.
secondary swell bonus:
  adjustment: 0
  explanation: No secondary swell bonus.

swell:
  height m: 0.7
  height ft: 2.3
  direction degrees: 212
  direction cardinal: SSW
  period s: 14
  explanation: 0.7m (2.3ft) swell from 212° (SSW) at 14s period
wind:
  speed kmh: 16
  speed mph: 9.9
  direction degrees: 266
  direction cardinal: W
  explanation: 16 km/h (10 mph) from 266° (W)
windswell:
  height m: 0.5
  period s: 2
  explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-08
day index: 4
strike score:
  final score: 30
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.89
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 12
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 218° is 21° off optimal 197°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 0.8m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect period: 16s is at or above ideal 15s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
    wind:
      score: 11
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 11 km/h from 230° (SW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-315°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Punta Pequena (Scorpion Bay). Either swell direction (218°), size (0.8m), or wind (11 km/h from 230°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.8
    height ft: 2.6
    direction degrees: 218
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 16
    explanation: 0.8m (2.6ft) swell from 218° (SW) at 16s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 11
    speed mph: 6.8
    direction degrees: 230
    direction cardinal: SW
    explanation: 11 km/h (7 mph) from 230° (SW)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 280
    direction cardinal: W
    period s: 4
  windswell:
    height m: 0.3
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-09
day index: 5
strike score:
  final score: 30
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.86
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 19
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 206° is 9° off optimal 197°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 0.8m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 21
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good period: 14s is 93% of ideal 15s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
    wind:
      score: 9
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 11 km/h from 198° (SSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-315°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Punta Pequena (Scorpion Bay). Either swell direction (206°), size (0.8m), or wind (11 km/h from 198°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.8
    height ft: 2.6
    direction degrees: 206
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 14
    explanation: 0.8m (2.6ft) swell from 206° (SSW) at 14s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 11
    speed mph: 6.8
    direction degrees: 198
    direction cardinal: SSW
    explanation: 11 km/h (7 mph) from 198° (SSW)

date: 2026-08-10
day index: 6
strike score:
  final score: 30
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.83
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 20
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good alignment: Swell from 203° is 6° off optimal 197°, still within prime range.
    swell size:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 0.7m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 21
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good period: 14s is 93% of ideal 15s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
    wind:
      score: 7
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 13 km/h from 245° (WSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-315°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Punta Pequena (Scorpion Bay). Either swell direction (203°), size (0.7m), or wind (13 km/h from 245°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.7
    height ft: 2.3
    direction degrees: 203
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 14
    explanation: 0.7m (2.3ft) swell from 203° (SSW) at 14s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 13
    speed mph: 8.1
    direction degrees: 245
    direction cardinal: WSW
    explanation: 13 km/h (8 mph) from 245° (WSW)

date: 2026-08-11
day index: 7
strike score:
  final score: 30
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 24
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect alignment: Swell from 198° is within 5° of optimal 197°.
    swell size:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 0.6m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 10
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate period: 13s meets minimum 12s but below ideal 15s. Some groundswell energy present.
    wind:
      score: 9
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 13 km/h from 250° (WSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-315°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: -3
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Punta Pequena (Scorpion Bay). Either swell direction (198°), size (0.6m), or wind (13 km/h from 250°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.6
    height ft: 2.0
    direction degrees: 198
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 13
    explanation: 0.6m (2.0ft) swell from 198° (SSW) at 13s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 13
    speed mph: 8.1
    direction degrees: 250
    direction cardinal: WSW
    explanation: 13 km/h (8 mph) from 250° (WSW)
  windswell:
    height m: 0.3
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-12
day index: 8
strike score:
  final score: 30
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 23
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good alignment: Swell from 199° is 2° off optimal 197°, still within prime range.
    swell size:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 0.6m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect period: 15s is at or above ideal 15s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
    wind:
      score: 5
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 16 km/h from 255° (WSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-315°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: -5
      windswell degraded: true
      explanation: -5 points: Short-period windswell is present, creating choppy, disorganized conditions.
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Punta Pequena (Scorpion Bay). Either swell direction (199°), size (0.6m), or wind (16 km/h from 255°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.6
    height ft: 2.0
    direction degrees: 199
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 15
    explanation: 0.6m (2.0ft) swell from 199° (SSW) at 15s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 16
    speed mph: 9.9
    direction degrees: 255
    direction cardinal: WSW
    explanation: 16 km/h (10 mph) from 255° (WSW)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 216
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 13
  windswell:
    height m: 0.5
    period s: 3
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-13
day index: 9
strike score:
  final score: 30
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 10
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 224° is 27° off optimal 197°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 0.6m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect period: 16s is at or above ideal 15s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
    wind:
      score: 5
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 16 km/h from 263° (W). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 270°-315°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: -5
      windswell degraded: true
      explanation: -5 points: Short-period windswell is present, creating choppy, disorganized conditions.
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Punta Pequena (Scorpion Bay). Either swell direction (224°), size (0.6m), or wind (16 km/h from 263°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.6
    height ft: 2.0
    direction degrees: 224
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 16
    explanation: 0.6m (2.0ft) swell from 224° (SW) at 16s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 16
    speed mph: 9.9
    direction degrees: 263
    direction cardinal: W
    explanation: 16 km/h (10 mph) from 263° (W)
  windswell:
    height m: 0.5
    period s: 3
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

Strike Mission
type: Organization