Surf Forecast for Shipwrecks (East Cape)
type: Dataset
description: 10-day surf forecast with Strike Scores for Shipwrecks (East Cape), East Cape, Mexico
about: Shipwrecks (East Cape)
  type: TouristAttraction
  geo: GeoCoordinates
    latitude: 23.05
    longitude: -109.45
  description: Shipwrecks is a powerful right reef on Baja's East Cape that comes alive during summer hurricane season when SE-S swells wrap into the Sea of Cortez. The wave offers quality barrels over a rocky reef, rewarding those who make the journey to this remote stretch of coast. When a hurricane tracks up the Pacific, this is one of the spots that can turn on with world-class conditions.
summary:
  best day:
    date: 2026-08-10
    score: 56
    category: Fair
    explanation: Best day in the forecast: 2026-08-10 with a score of 56/100 (Fair)
  firing days count: 0
  overall recommendation: Poor conditions overall: Average score 40/100. Look for spots with better forecasts.
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-04
  day index: 0
  strike score:
    final score: 33
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 14
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 188° is 18° off optimal 170°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 3
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 1.0m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
      swell period:
        score: 10
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate period: 13s meets minimum 12s but below ideal 15s. Some groundswell energy present.
      wind:
        score: 16
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 9 km/h from 6° (N). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 290°-340°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Shipwrecks (East Cape). Either swell direction (188°), size (1.0m), or wind (9 km/h from 6°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 1
      height ft: 3.3
      direction degrees: 188
      direction cardinal: S
      period s: 13
      explanation: 1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 188° (S) at 13s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 9
      speed mph: 5.6
      direction degrees: 6
      direction cardinal: N
      explanation: 9 km/h (6 mph) from 6° (N)
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-05
  day index: 1
  strike score:
    final score: 26
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 15
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 185° is 15° off optimal 170°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 3
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 1.0m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
      swell period:
        score: 6
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate period: 12s meets minimum 12s but below ideal 15s. Some groundswell energy present.
      wind:
        score: 11
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 9 km/h from 133° (SE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 290°-340°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Shipwrecks (East Cape). Either swell direction (185°), size (1.0m), or wind (9 km/h from 133°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 1
      height ft: 3.3
      direction degrees: 185
      direction cardinal: S
      period s: 12
      explanation: 1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 185° (S) at 12s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 9
      speed mph: 5.6
      direction degrees: 133
      direction cardinal: SE
      explanation: 9 km/h (6 mph) from 133° (SE)
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-06
  day index: 2
  strike score:
    final score: 20
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 0.95
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 24
        out of: 25
        explanation: Perfect alignment: Swell from 171° is within 5° of optimal 170°.
      swell size:
        score: 3
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 0.9m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
      swell period:
        score: 2
        out of: 25
        explanation: Short period: 9s is below minimum 12s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
      wind:
        score: 4
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 13 km/h from 96° (E). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 290°-340°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Shipwrecks (East Cape). Either swell direction (171°), size (0.9m), or wind (13 km/h from 96°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 0.9
      height ft: 3.0
      direction degrees: 171
      direction cardinal: S
      period s: 9
      explanation: 0.9m (3.0ft) swell from 171° (S) at 9s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 13
      speed mph: 8.1
      direction degrees: 96
      direction cardinal: E
      explanation: 13 km/h (8 mph) from 96° (E)
    secondary swell:
      height m: 0.6
      direction degrees: 202
      direction cardinal: SSW
      period s: 15
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-07
  day index: 3
  strike score:
    final score: 49
    category: Fair
    category emoji: 😐
    confidence: 0.92
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 10
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 197° is 27° off optimal 170°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 5
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 1.1m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
      swell period:
        score: 25
        out of: 25
        explanation: Perfect period: 15s is at or above ideal 15s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
    summary: Surfable but not special at Shipwrecks (East Cape). The 1.1m swell from 197° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
provider: Strike Mission
date published: 2026-08-05T03:14:22.577Z
temporal coverage: 2026-08-04/2026-08-13
data sources: Open-Meteo Marine API (swell/wave data)
data sources: Open-Meteo Weather API (wind/weather data)

score: 7
out of: 25
explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 11 km/h from 105° (ESE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 290°-340°.

wind history:
  adjustment: 0
  groomed: false
  morning sickness: false
  explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
windswell penalty:
  adjustment: 0
  windswell degraded: false
  explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
secondary swell bonus:
  adjustment: 0
  explanation: No secondary swell bonus.

swell:
  height m: 1.1
  height ft: 3.6
  direction degrees: 197
  direction cardinal: SSW
  period s: 15
  explanation: 1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 197° (SSW) at 15s period
wind:
  speed kmh: 11
  speed mph: 6.8
  direction degrees: 105
  direction cardinal: ESE
  explanation: 11 km/h (7 mph) from 105° (ESE)
secondary swell:
  height m: 0.6
  direction degrees: 164
  direction cardinal: SSE
  period s: 7

date: 2026-08-08
day index: 4
strike score:
  final score: 46
  category: Fair
  category emoji: 😐
  confidence: 0.89
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 14
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 188° is 18° off optimal 170°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 10
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.5m is 0.6m from ideal 2.1m.
    swell period:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect period: 16s is at or above ideal 15s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
    wind:
      score: 0
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 15 km/h from 162° (SSE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 290°-340°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Surfable but not special at Shipwrecks (East Cape). The 1.5m swell from 188° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.5
    height ft: 4.9
    direction degrees: 188
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 16
    explanation: 1.5m (4.9ft) swell from 188° (S) at 16s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 15
    speed mph: 9.3
    direction degrees: 162
    direction cardinal: SSE
    explanation: 15 km/h (9 mph) from 162° (SSE)

date: 2026-08-09
day index: 5
strike score:
  final score: 47
  category: Fair
  category emoji: 😐
  confidence: 0.86
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 16
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 184° is 14° off optimal 170°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 10
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.4m is 0.7m from ideal 2.1m.
    swell period:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect period: 15s is at or above ideal 15s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
    wind:
      score: 1
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 19 km/h from 205° (SSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 290°-340°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Surfable but not special at Shipwrecks (East Cape). The 1.4m swell from 184° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.4
    height ft: 4.6
    direction degrees: 184
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 15
    explanation: 1.4m (4.6ft) swell from 184° (S) at 15s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 19
    speed mph: 11.8
    direction degrees: 205
    direction cardinal: SSW
    explanation: 19 km/h (12 mph) from 205° (SSW)

date: 2026-08-10
day index: 6
strike score:
  final score: 56
  category: Fair
  category emoji: 😐
  confidence: 0.83
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 19
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 179° is 9° off optimal 170°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 9
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.3m is 0.8m from ideal 2.1m.
    swell period:
      score: 21
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good period: 14s is 93% of ideal 15s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
    wind:
      score: 11
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 9 km/h from 107° (ESE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 290°-340°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Surfable but not special at Shipwrecks (East Cape). The 1.3m swell from 179° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.3
    height ft: 4.3
    direction degrees: 179
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 14
    explanation: 1.3m (4.3ft) swell from 179° (S) at 14s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 9
    speed mph: 5.6
    direction degrees: 107
    direction cardinal: ESE
    explanation: 9 km/h (6 mph) from 107° (ESE)

date: 2026-08-11
day index: 7
strike score:
  final score: 50
  category: Fair
  category emoji: 😐
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 19
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 179° is 9° off optimal 170°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 8
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.2m is 0.9m from ideal 2.1m.
    swell period:
      score: 21
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good period: 14s is 93% of ideal 15s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
    wind:
      score: 5
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 12 km/h from 133° (SE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 290°-340°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Surfable but not special at Shipwrecks (East Cape). The 1.2m swell from 179° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.2
    height ft: 3.9
    direction degrees: 179
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 14
    explanation: 1.2m (3.9ft) swell from 179° (S) at 14s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 12
    speed mph: 7.5
    direction degrees: 133
    direction cardinal: SE
    explanation: 12 km/h (7 mph) from 133° (SE)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.5
    direction degrees: 207
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 15

date: 2026-08-12
day index: 8
strike score:
  final score: 43
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 17
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 182° is 12° off optimal 170°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 3
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 1.0m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 21
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good period: 14s is 93% of ideal 15s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
    wind:
      score: 5
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 12 km/h from 113° (ESE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 290°-340°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Shipwrecks (East Cape). Either swell direction (182°), size (1.0m), or wind (12 km/h from 113°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1
    height ft: 3.3
    direction degrees: 182
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 14
    explanation: 1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 182° (S) at 14s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 12
    speed mph: 7.5
    direction degrees: 113
    direction cardinal: ESE
    explanation: 12 km/h (7 mph) from 113° (ESE)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.5
    direction degrees: 209
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 14

date: 2026-08-13
day index: 9
strike score:
  final score: 30
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 24
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect alignment: Swell from 171° is within 5° of optimal 170°.
    swell size:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 0.8m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 21
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good period: 14s is 93% of ideal 15s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
    wind:
      score: 11
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 9 km/h from 125° (SE). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 290°-340°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Shipwrecks (East Cape). Either swell direction (171°), size (0.8m), or wind (9 km/h from 125°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.8
    height ft: 2.6
    direction degrees: 171
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 14
    explanation: 0.8m (2.6ft) swell from 171° (S) at 14s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 9
    speed mph: 5.6
    direction degrees: 125
    direction cardinal: SE
    explanation: 9 km/h (6 mph) from 125° (SE)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 206
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 15

Strike Mission
type: Organization