Surf Forecast for Baler
type: Dataset
description: 10-day surf forecast with Strike Scores for Baler, Aurora Province, Philippines
about: Baler
  type: TouristAttraction
  geo: GeoCoordinates
    latitude: 15.7594
    longitude: 121.5625
  description: Baler is where Philippine surfing was born—a historic beach in Aurora Province made famous globally by Apocalypse Now's iconic surf scene, though the waves here are far gentler than Hollywood depicted. Sabang Beach provides consistent, beginner-friendly peaks that have nurtured the country's growing surf community for decades. The five-hour drive from Manila through the Sierra Madre mountains adds adventure to the journey, while the town's laid-back atmosphere and affordable accommodation make it perfect for extended surf stays. Baler represents Philippine surfing at its most authentic.
summary:
  best day:
    date: 2026-08-05
    score: 92
    category: Firing
    explanation: Best day in the forecast: 2026-08-05 with a score of 92/100 (Firing)
  firing days count: 3
  firing days:
    date: 2026-08-05
    score: 92
  firing days:
    date: 2026-08-06
    score: 86
  firing days:
    date: 2026-08-07
    score: 82
  overall recommendation: Strong recommendation: Baler has 3 Firing days in the next 10 days. Book your trip!
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-05
  day index: 0
  strike score:
    final score: 92
    category: Firing
    category emoji: 🔥
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 22
        out of: 25
        explanation: Good alignment: Swell from 74° is 4° off optimal 70°, still within prime range.
      swell size:
        score: 23
        out of: 25
        explanation: Good size: 1.6m is within 15% of ideal 1.3m.
      swell period:
        score: 20
        out of: 25
        explanation: Good period: 17s is 142% of ideal 12s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
      wind:
        score: 25
        out of: 25
        explanation: Glassy: Wind speed 2 km/h (light/variable). Perfect mirror-like surface.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 6
        groomed: true
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: +6 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Excellent conditions at Baler. The 1.6m swell from 74° aligns well with the spot, and light offshore winds are grooming the face. Worth planning a trip around this.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 1.6
      height ft: 5.2
      direction degrees: 74
      direction cardinal: ENE
      period s: 17
      explanation: 1.6m (5.2ft) swell from 74° (ENE) at 17s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 2
      speed mph: 1.2
      direction degrees: 264
      direction cardinal: W
      explanation: 2 km/h (1 mph) from 264° (W)
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-06
  day index: 1
  strike score:
    final score: 86
    category: Firing
    category emoji: 🔥
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 18
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 60° is 10° off optimal 70°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 23
        out of: 25
        explanation: Good size: 1.5m is within 15% of ideal 1.3m.
      swell period:
        score: 20
        out of: 25
        explanation: Good period: 17s is 142% of ideal 12s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
      wind:
        score: 23
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate offshore: 17 km/h from 261° (W). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 4
        groomed: true
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: +4 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Excellent conditions at Baler. The 1.5m swell from 60° aligns well with the spot, and offshore winds are grooming the face. Worth planning a trip around this.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 1.5
      height ft: 4.9
      direction degrees: 60
      direction cardinal: ENE
      period s: 17
      explanation: 1.5m (4.9ft) swell from 60° (ENE) at 17s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 17
      speed mph: 10.6
      direction degrees: 261
      direction cardinal: W
      explanation: 17 km/h (11 mph) from 261° (W)
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-07
  day index: 2
  strike score:
    final score: 82
    category: Firing
    category emoji: 🔥
    confidence: 0.95
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 13
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 50° is 20° off optimal 70°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 20
        out of: 25
        explanation: Good size: 1.4m is within 15% of ideal 1.3m.
      swell period:
        score: 20
        out of: 25
        explanation: Good period: 17s is 142% of ideal 12s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
      wind:
        score: 25
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate offshore: 11 km/h from 262° (W). Still grooming but noticeable wind.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 4
        groomed: true
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: +4 points: Multiple days of offshore wind have groomed the ocean surface, creating ultra-clean conditions.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Excellent conditions at Baler. The 1.4m swell from 50° aligns well with the spot, and offshore winds are grooming the face. Worth planning a trip around this.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 1.4
      height ft: 4.6
      direction degrees: 50
      direction cardinal: NE
      period s: 17
      explanation: 1.4m (4.6ft) swell from 50° (NE) at 17s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 11
      speed mph: 6.8
      direction degrees: 262
      direction cardinal: W
      explanation: 11 km/h (7 mph) from 262° (W)
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-08
  day index: 3
  strike score:
    final score: 63
    category: Fair
    category emoji: 😐
    confidence: 0.92
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 11
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 44° is 26° off optimal 70°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 11
        out of: 25
        explanation: Marginal size: 0.8m is 0.4m from ideal 1.3m.
    summary: Surfable but not special at Baler. The 0.8m swell from 44° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
provider: Strike Mission
date published: 2026-08-05T03:09:17.194Z
temporal coverage: 2026-08-05/2026-08-14
data sources: Open-Meteo Marine API (swell/wave data)
data sources: Open-Meteo Weather API (wind/weather data)

score: 23
out of: 25
explanation: Good period: 15s is 125% of ideal 12s. Clean, powerful groundswell.

score: 21
out of: 25
explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 6 km/h from 197° (SSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 230°-310°.

wind history:
  adjustment: 0
  groomed: false
  morning sickness: false
  explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
windswell penalty:
  adjustment: -3
  windswell degraded: false
  explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
secondary swell bonus:
  adjustment: 0
  explanation: No secondary swell bonus.

swell:
  height m: 0.8
  height ft: 2.6
  direction degrees: 44
  direction cardinal: NE
  period s: 15
  explanation: 0.8m (2.6ft) swell from 44° (NE) at 15s period
wind:
  speed kmh: 6
  speed mph: 3.7
  direction degrees: 197
  direction cardinal: SSW
  explanation: 6 km/h (4 mph) from 197° (SSW)
windswell:
  height m: 0.4
  period s: 2
  explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-09
day index: 4
strike score:
  final score: 46
  category: Fair
  category emoji: 😐
  confidence: 0.89
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 0
      out of: 25
      explanation: No alignment: Swell from 168° is outside workable range 40°-85°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
    swell size:
      score: 9
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 0.6m is 0.7m from ideal 1.3m.
    swell period:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect period: 13s is at or above ideal 12s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
    wind:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 4 km/h from 205° (SSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 230°-310°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: -3
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Surfable but not special at Baler. The 0.6m swell from 168° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.6
    height ft: 2.0
    direction degrees: 168
    direction cardinal: SSE
    period s: 13
    explanation: 0.6m (2.0ft) swell from 168° (SSE) at 13s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 4
    speed mph: 2.5
    direction degrees: 205
    direction cardinal: SSW
    explanation: 4 km/h (2 mph) from 205° (SSW)
  windswell:
    height m: 0.4
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-10
day index: 5
strike score:
  final score: 34
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.86
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 0
      out of: 25
      explanation: No alignment: Swell from 167° is outside workable range 40°-85°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
    swell size:
      score: 9
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 0.6m is 0.7m from ideal 1.3m.
    swell period:
      score: 14
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate period: 10s meets minimum 8s but below ideal 12s. Some groundswell energy present.
    wind:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Glassy: Wind speed 3 km/h (light/variable). Perfect mirror-like surface.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: -3
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Baler. Either swell direction (167°), size (0.6m), or wind (3 km/h from 223°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.6
    height ft: 2.0
    direction degrees: 167
    direction cardinal: SSE
    period s: 10
    explanation: 0.6m (2.0ft) swell from 167° (SSE) at 10s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 3
    speed mph: 1.9
    direction degrees: 223
    direction cardinal: SW
    explanation: 3 km/h (2 mph) from 223° (SW)
  windswell:
    height m: 0.4
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-11
day index: 6
strike score:
  final score: 45
  category: Fair
  category emoji: 😐
  confidence: 0.83
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 0
      out of: 25
      explanation: No alignment: Swell from 139° is outside workable range 40°-85°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
    swell size:
      score: 8
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 0.5m is 0.8m from ideal 1.3m.
    swell period:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect period: 12s is at or above ideal 12s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
    wind:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Glassy: Wind speed 2 km/h (light/variable). Perfect mirror-like surface.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Surfable but not special at Baler. The 0.5m swell from 139° is workable, but conditions aren't ideal. Fine if you're local, but not worth a dedicated trip.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.5
    height ft: 1.6
    direction degrees: 139
    direction cardinal: SE
    period s: 12
    explanation: 0.5m (1.6ft) swell from 139° (SE) at 12s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 2
    speed mph: 1.2
    direction degrees: 267
    direction cardinal: W
    explanation: 2 km/h (1 mph) from 267° (W)

date: 2026-08-12
day index: 7
strike score:
  final score: 71
  category: Good
  category emoji: ✅
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 14
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 88° is 18° off optimal 70°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 8
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 0.5m is 0.8m from ideal 1.3m.
    swell period:
      score: 23
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good period: 11s is 92% of ideal 12s. Clean, powerful groundswell.
    wind:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Glassy: Wind speed 3 km/h (light/variable). Perfect mirror-like surface.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Good surfable conditions at Baler. 0.5m swell from 88° with manageable wind. Solid session guaranteed.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.5
    height ft: 1.6
    direction degrees: 88
    direction cardinal: E
    period s: 11
    explanation: 0.5m (1.6ft) swell from 88° (E) at 11s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 3
    speed mph: 1.9
    direction degrees: 273
    direction cardinal: W
    explanation: 3 km/h (2 mph) from 273° (W)

date: 2026-08-13
day index: 8
strike score:
  final score: 22
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 0
      out of: 25
      explanation: No alignment: Swell from 132° is outside workable range 40°-85°. Wrong swell direction for this spot.
    swell size:
      score: 8
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 0.5m is 0.8m from ideal 1.3m.
    swell period:
      score: 8
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate period: 9s meets minimum 8s but below ideal 12s. Some groundswell energy present.
    wind:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Light offshore: 6 km/h from 292° (WNW). Grooming the wave face beautifully.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Baler. Either swell direction (132°), size (0.5m), or wind (6 km/h from 292°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.5
    height ft: 1.6
    direction degrees: 132
    direction cardinal: SE
    period s: 9
    explanation: 0.5m (1.6ft) swell from 132° (SE) at 9s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 6
    speed mph: 3.7
    direction degrees: 292
    direction cardinal: WNW
    explanation: 6 km/h (4 mph) from 292° (WNW)

date: 2026-08-14
day index: 9
strike score:
  final score: 44
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 10
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 97° is 27° off optimal 70°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 3
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 0.4m is below minimum 0.5m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 14
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate period: 10s meets minimum 8s but below ideal 12s. Some groundswell energy present.
    wind:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Glassy: Wind speed 2 km/h (light/variable). Perfect mirror-like surface.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Baler. Either swell direction (97°), size (0.4m), or wind (2 km/h from 196°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.4
    height ft: 1.3
    direction degrees: 97
    direction cardinal: E
    period s: 10
    explanation: 0.4m (1.3ft) swell from 97° (E) at 10s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 2
    speed mph: 1.2
    direction degrees: 196
    direction cardinal: SSW
    explanation: 2 km/h (1 mph) from 196° (SSW)

Strike Mission
type: Organization