Surf Forecast for Cox Bay
type: Dataset
description: 10-day surf forecast with Strike Scores for Cox Bay, Tofino, Canada
about: Cox Bay
  type: TouristAttraction
  geo: GeoCoordinates
    latitude: 49.095
    longitude: -125.875
  description: Cox Bay is Canada's surf capital—a beautiful beach break surrounded by old-growth rainforest on Vancouver Island's wild west coast. Tofino has become a surfing mecca, drawing everyone from beginners to experienced chargers. The water is cold year-round (thick wetsuits required), but winter storms deliver consistent Pacific swells that light up the sandbars. The setting is stunning: rainforest, black bears, and pristine wilderness. Canadian surfing at its finest.
summary:
  best day:
    date: 2026-08-10
    score: 44
    category: Poor
    explanation: Best day in the forecast: 2026-08-10 with a score of 44/100 (Poor)
  firing days count: 0
  overall recommendation: Poor conditions overall: Average score 37/100. Look for spots with better forecasts.
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-04
  day index: 0
  strike score:
    final score: 36
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 13
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 279° is 19° off optimal 260°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 10
        out of: 25
        explanation: Marginal size: 1.1m is 0.8m from ideal 1.9m.
      swell period:
        score: 1
        out of: 25
        explanation: Short period: 6s is below minimum 10s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
      wind:
        score: 15
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 7 km/h from 306° (NW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (279°), size (1.1m), or wind (7 km/h from 306°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 1.1
      height ft: 3.6
      direction degrees: 279
      direction cardinal: W
      period s: 6
      explanation: 1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 279° (W) at 6s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 7
      speed mph: 4.3
      direction degrees: 306
      direction cardinal: NW
      explanation: 7 km/h (4 mph) from 306° (NW)
    secondary swell:
      height m: 0.4
      direction degrees: 224
      direction cardinal: SW
      period s: 12
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-05
  day index: 1
  strike score:
    final score: 42
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 12
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 281° is 21° off optimal 260°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 11
        out of: 25
        explanation: Marginal size: 1.3m is 0.6m from ideal 1.9m.
      swell period:
        score: 1
        out of: 25
        explanation: Short period: 6s is below minimum 10s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
      wind:
        score: 13
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 8 km/h from 305° (NW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (281°), size (1.3m), or wind (8 km/h from 305°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 1.3
      height ft: 4.3
      direction degrees: 281
      direction cardinal: W
      period s: 6
      explanation: 1.3m (4.3ft) swell from 281° (W) at 6s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 8
      speed mph: 5.0
      direction degrees: 305
      direction cardinal: NW
      explanation: 8 km/h (5 mph) from 305° (NW)
    secondary swell:
      height m: 0.4
      direction degrees: 234
      direction cardinal: SW
      period s: 12
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-06
  day index: 2
  strike score:
    final score: 34
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 0.95
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 14
        out of: 25
        explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 277° is 17° off optimal 260°, workable but not ideal.
      swell size:
        score: 10
        out of: 25
        explanation: Marginal size: 1.1m is 0.8m from ideal 1.9m.
      swell period:
        score: 1
        out of: 25
        explanation: Short period: 6s is below minimum 10s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
      wind:
        score: 14
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 8 km/h from 197° (SSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (277°), size (1.1m), or wind (8 km/h from 197°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 1.1
      height ft: 3.6
      direction degrees: 277
      direction cardinal: W
      period s: 6
      explanation: 1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 277° (W) at 6s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 8
      speed mph: 5.0
      direction degrees: 197
      direction cardinal: SSW
      explanation: 8 km/h (5 mph) from 197° (SSW)
    secondary swell:
      height m: 0.4
      direction degrees: 245
      direction cardinal: WSW
      period s: 9
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-07
  day index: 3
  strike score:
    final score: 38
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 0.92
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    summary: Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (277°), size (1.1m), or wind (6 km/h from 195°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
provider: Strike Mission
date published: 2026-08-05T03:09:19.352Z
temporal coverage: 2026-08-04/2026-08-13
data sources: Open-Meteo Marine API (swell/wave data)
data sources: Open-Meteo Weather API (wind/weather data)

swell direction:
  score: 14
  out of: 25
  explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 277° is 17° off optimal 260°, workable but not ideal.
swell size:
  score: 10
  out of: 25
  explanation: Marginal size: 1.1m is 0.8m from ideal 1.9m.
swell period:
  score: 0
  out of: 25
  explanation: Short period: 5s is below minimum 10s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
wind:
  score: 18
  out of: 25
  explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 6 km/h from 195° (SSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.

wind history:
  adjustment: 0
  groomed: false
  morning sickness: false
  explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
windswell penalty:
  adjustment: 0
  windswell degraded: false
  explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
secondary swell bonus:
  adjustment: 0
  explanation: No secondary swell bonus.

swell:
  height m: 1.1
  height ft: 3.6
  direction degrees: 277
  direction cardinal: W
  period s: 5
  explanation: 1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 277° (W) at 5s period
wind:
  speed kmh: 6
  speed mph: 3.7
  direction degrees: 195
  direction cardinal: SSW
  explanation: 6 km/h (4 mph) from 195° (SSW)

date: 2026-08-08
day index: 4
strike score:
  final score: 38
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.89
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 16
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 273° is 13° off optimal 260°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 10
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.1m is 0.8m from ideal 1.9m.
    swell period:
      score: 1
      out of: 25
      explanation: Short period: 6s is below minimum 10s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
    wind:
      score: 17
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 7 km/h from 184° (S). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: -3
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (273°), size (1.1m), or wind (7 km/h from 184°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.1
    height ft: 3.6
    direction degrees: 273
    direction cardinal: W
    period s: 6
    explanation: 1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 273° (W) at 6s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 7
    speed mph: 4.3
    direction degrees: 184
    direction cardinal: S
    explanation: 7 km/h (4 mph) from 184° (S)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 210
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 13
  windswell:
    height m: 0.7
    period s: 3
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-09
day index: 5
strike score:
  final score: 32
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.86
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 20
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good alignment: Swell from 253° is 7° off optimal 260°, still within prime range.
    swell size:
      score: 5
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 0.7m is below minimum 0.8m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Short period: 8s is below minimum 10s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
    wind:
      score: 15
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 7 km/h from 220° (SW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: -5
      windswell degraded: true
      explanation: -5 points: Short-period windswell is present, creating choppy, disorganized conditions.
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (253°), size (0.7m), or wind (7 km/h from 220°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.7
    height ft: 2.3
    direction degrees: 253
    direction cardinal: WSW
    period s: 8
    explanation: 0.7m (2.3ft) swell from 253° (WSW) at 8s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 7
    speed mph: 4.3
    direction degrees: 220
    direction cardinal: SW
    explanation: 7 km/h (4 mph) from 220° (SW)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 225
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 12
  windswell:
    height m: 0.5
    period s: 3
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-10
day index: 6
strike score:
  final score: 44
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.83
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 1
      out of: 25
      explanation: Poor alignment: Swell from 203° is 57° off optimal 260°, barely within workable range 220°-300°.
    swell size:
      score: 3
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 0.6m is below minimum 0.8m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 25
      out of: 25
      explanation: Perfect period: 15s is at or above ideal 14s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
    wind:
      score: 17
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 7 km/h from 198° (SSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (203°), size (0.6m), or wind (7 km/h from 198°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.6
    height ft: 2.0
    direction degrees: 203
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 15
    explanation: 0.6m (2.0ft) swell from 203° (SSW) at 15s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 7
    speed mph: 4.3
    direction degrees: 198
    direction cardinal: SSW
    explanation: 7 km/h (4 mph) from 198° (SSW)

date: 2026-08-11
day index: 7
strike score:
  final score: 39
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 20
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good alignment: Swell from 266° is 6° off optimal 260°, still within prime range.
    swell size:
      score: 9
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 0.9m is 1.0m from ideal 1.9m.
    swell period:
      score: 0
      out of: 25
      explanation: Short period: 5s is below minimum 10s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
    wind:
      score: 18
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 6 km/h from 191° (S). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (266°), size (0.9m), or wind (6 km/h from 191°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.9
    height ft: 3.0
    direction degrees: 266
    direction cardinal: W
    period s: 5
    explanation: 0.9m (3.0ft) swell from 266° (W) at 5s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 6
    speed mph: 3.7
    direction degrees: 191
    direction cardinal: S
    explanation: 6 km/h (4 mph) from 191° (S)
  windswell:
    height m: 0.3
    period s: 2
    explanation: Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)

date: 2026-08-12
day index: 8
strike score:
  final score: 32
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 14
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 278° is 18° off optimal 260°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 9
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 0.9m is 1.0m from ideal 1.9m.
    swell period:
      score: 0
      out of: 25
      explanation: Short period: 5s is below minimum 10s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
    wind:
      score: 17
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 6 km/h from 222° (SW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (278°), size (0.9m), or wind (6 km/h from 222°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.9
    height ft: 3.0
    direction degrees: 278
    direction cardinal: W
    period s: 5
    explanation: 0.9m (3.0ft) swell from 278° (W) at 5s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 6
    speed mph: 3.7
    direction degrees: 222
    direction cardinal: SW
    explanation: 6 km/h (4 mph) from 222° (SW)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 215
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 14

date: 2026-08-13
day index: 9
strike score:
  final score: 39
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 13
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 279° is 19° off optimal 260°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 10
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.1m is 0.8m from ideal 1.9m.
    swell period:
      score: 1
      out of: 25
      explanation: Short period: 6s is below minimum 10s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
    wind:
      score: 20
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 5 km/h from 205° (SSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (279°), size (1.1m), or wind (5 km/h from 205°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.1
    height ft: 3.6
    direction degrees: 279
    direction cardinal: W
    period s: 6
    explanation: 1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 279° (W) at 6s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 5
    speed mph: 3.1
    direction degrees: 205
    direction cardinal: SSW
    explanation: 5 km/h (3 mph) from 205° (SSW)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 224
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 11

Strike Mission
type: Organization