10-day surf forecast with Strike Scores for Cox Bay, Tofino, Canada
Cox Bay is Canada's surf capital—a beautiful beach break surrounded by old-growth rainforest on Vancouver Island's wild west coast. Tofino has become a surfing mecca, drawing everyone from beginners to experienced chargers. The water is cold year-round (thick wetsuits required), but winter storms deliver consistent Pacific swells that light up the sandbars. The setting is stunning: rainforest, black bears, and pristine wilderness. Canadian surfing at its finest.
Best day in the forecast: 2026-08-10 with a score of 44/100 (Poor)
Poor conditions overall: Average score 37/100. Look for spots with better forecasts.
Moderate alignment: Swell from 279° is 19° off optimal 260°, workable but not ideal.
Marginal size: 1.1m is 0.8m from ideal 1.9m.
Short period: 6s is below minimum 10s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
Onshore/cross-shore: 7 km/h from 306° (NW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (279°), size (1.1m), or wind (7 km/h from 306°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 279° (W) at 6s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 281° is 21° off optimal 260°, workable but not ideal.
Marginal size: 1.3m is 0.6m from ideal 1.9m.
Onshore/cross-shore: 8 km/h from 305° (NW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (281°), size (1.3m), or wind (8 km/h from 305°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.3m (4.3ft) swell from 281° (W) at 6s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 277° is 17° off optimal 260°, workable but not ideal.
Onshore/cross-shore: 8 km/h from 197° (SSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (277°), size (1.1m), or wind (8 km/h from 197°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 277° (W) at 6s period
Short period: 5s is below minimum 10s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
Onshore/cross-shore: 6 km/h from 195° (SSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (277°), size (1.1m), or wind (6 km/h from 195°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 277° (W) at 5s period
Moderate alignment: Swell from 273° is 13° off optimal 260°, workable but not ideal.
Onshore/cross-shore: 7 km/h from 184° (S). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (273°), size (1.1m), or wind (7 km/h from 184°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 273° (W) at 6s period
Local wind-generated waves (choppy, short-period)
Good alignment: Swell from 253° is 7° off optimal 260°, still within prime range.
Too small: 0.7m is below minimum 0.8m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Short period: 8s is below minimum 10s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
Onshore/cross-shore: 7 km/h from 220° (SW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
-5 points: Short-period windswell is present, creating choppy, disorganized conditions.
Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (253°), size (0.7m), or wind (7 km/h from 220°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.7m (2.3ft) swell from 253° (WSW) at 8s period
Poor alignment: Swell from 203° is 57° off optimal 260°, barely within workable range 220°-300°.
Too small: 0.6m is below minimum 0.8m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
Perfect period: 15s is at or above ideal 14s. Long-period groundswell with maximum power.
Onshore/cross-shore: 7 km/h from 198° (SSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (203°), size (0.6m), or wind (7 km/h from 198°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.6m (2.0ft) swell from 203° (SSW) at 15s period
Good alignment: Swell from 266° is 6° off optimal 260°, still within prime range.
Marginal size: 0.9m is 1.0m from ideal 1.9m.
Onshore/cross-shore: 6 km/h from 191° (S). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (266°), size (0.9m), or wind (6 km/h from 191°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.9m (3.0ft) swell from 266° (W) at 5s period
Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
Moderate alignment: Swell from 278° is 18° off optimal 260°, workable but not ideal.
Onshore/cross-shore: 6 km/h from 222° (SW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (278°), size (0.9m), or wind (6 km/h from 222°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
0.9m (3.0ft) swell from 278° (W) at 5s period
Onshore/cross-shore: 5 km/h from 205° (SSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
Poor conditions at Cox Bay. Either swell direction (279°), size (1.1m), or wind (5 km/h from 205°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
Open-Meteo Weather API (wind/weather data)