Surf Forecast for Pavones
type: Dataset
description: 10-day surf forecast with Strike Scores for Pavones, Puntarenas, Costa Rica
about: Pavones
  type: TouristAttraction
  geo: GeoCoordinates
    latitude: 8.387
    longitude: -83.158
  description: Pavones is one of the longest left-hand point breaks in the world—a legendary wave in remote southern Costa Rica that can run for 800+ meters when conditions align. Getting here requires a serious commitment (6+ hour drive from San Jose on rough roads), but the payoff is tropical perfection with jungle-clad hills as your backdrop. The wave needs long-period SW swells to really connect, and when it does, you'll understand why people relocate their lives to this tiny village.
summary:
  best day:
    date: 2026-08-12
    score: 40
    category: Poor
    explanation: Best day in the forecast: 2026-08-12 with a score of 40/100 (Poor)
  firing days count: 0
  overall recommendation: Poor conditions overall: Average score 33/100. Look for spots with better forecasts.
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-04
  day index: 0
  strike score:
    final score: 35
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 24
        out of: 25
        explanation: Perfect alignment: Swell from 199° is within 5° of optimal 200°.
      swell size:
        score: 9
        out of: 25
        explanation: Marginal size: 1.3m is 1.1m from ideal 2.4m.
      swell period:
        score: 2
        out of: 25
        explanation: Short period: 10s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
      wind:
        score: 10
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 10 km/h from 224° (SW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Pavones. Either swell direction (199°), size (1.3m), or wind (10 km/h from 224°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 1.3
      height ft: 4.3
      direction degrees: 199
      direction cardinal: SSW
      period s: 10
      explanation: 1.3m (4.3ft) swell from 199° (SSW) at 10s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 10
      speed mph: 6.2
      direction degrees: 224
      direction cardinal: SW
      explanation: 10 km/h (6 mph) from 224° (SW)
    secondary swell:
      height m: 0.4
      direction degrees: 248
      direction cardinal: WSW
      period s: 12
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-05
  day index: 1
  strike score:
    final score: 35
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 1
    confidence explanation: Very high confidence (0-1 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 23
        out of: 25
        explanation: Good alignment: Swell from 198° is 2° off optimal 200°, still within prime range.
      swell size:
        score: 9
        out of: 25
        explanation: Marginal size: 1.3m is 1.1m from ideal 2.4m.
      swell period:
        score: 1
        out of: 25
        explanation: Short period: 9s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
      wind:
        score: 13
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 8 km/h from 214° (SW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Pavones. Either swell direction (198°), size (1.3m), or wind (8 km/h from 214°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 1.3
      height ft: 4.3
      direction degrees: 198
      direction cardinal: SSW
      period s: 9
      explanation: 1.3m (4.3ft) swell from 198° (SSW) at 9s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 8
      speed mph: 5.0
      direction degrees: 214
      direction cardinal: SW
      explanation: 8 km/h (5 mph) from 214° (SW)
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-06
  day index: 2
  strike score:
    final score: 32
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 0.95
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 24
        out of: 25
        explanation: Perfect alignment: Swell from 201° is within 5° of optimal 200°.
      swell size:
        score: 5
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 1.1m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
      swell period:
        score: 2
        out of: 25
        explanation: Short period: 11s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
      wind:
        score: 15
        out of: 25
        explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 7 km/h from 247° (WSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
    adjustments:
      wind history:
        adjustment: 0
        groomed: false
        morning sickness: false
        explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
      windswell penalty:
        adjustment: 0
        windswell degraded: false
        explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
      secondary swell bonus:
        adjustment: 0
        explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
    summary: Poor conditions at Pavones. Either swell direction (201°), size (1.1m), or wind (7 km/h from 247°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
  conditions:
    swell:
      height m: 1.1
      height ft: 3.6
      direction degrees: 201
      direction cardinal: SSW
      period s: 11
      explanation: 1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 201° (SSW) at 11s period
    wind:
      speed kmh: 7
      speed mph: 4.3
      direction degrees: 247
      direction cardinal: WSW
      explanation: 7 km/h (4 mph) from 247° (WSW)
    secondary swell:
      height m: 0.4
      direction degrees: 190
      direction cardinal: S
      period s: 12
forecasts:
  date: 2026-08-07
  day index: 3
  strike score:
    final score: 32
    category: Poor
    category emoji: 💤
    confidence: 0.92
    confidence explanation: High confidence (2-3 day forecast)
    breakdown:
      swell direction:
        score: 24
        out of: 25
        explanation: Perfect alignment: Swell from 201° is within 5° of optimal 200°.
      swell size:
        score: 5
        out of: 25
        explanation: Too small: 1.1m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    summary: Poor conditions at Pavones. Either swell direction (201°), size (1.1m), or wind (9 km/h from 249°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
provider: Strike Mission
date published: 2026-08-05T03:09:20.189Z
temporal coverage: 2026-08-04/2026-08-13
data sources: Open-Meteo Marine API (swell/wave data)
data sources: Open-Meteo Weather API (wind/weather data)

score: 4
out of: 25
explanation: Short period: 12s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).

score: 11
out of: 25
explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 9 km/h from 249° (WSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.

wind history:
  adjustment: 0
  groomed: false
  morning sickness: false
  explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
windswell penalty:
  adjustment: 0
  windswell degraded: false
  explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
secondary swell bonus:
  adjustment: 0
  explanation: No secondary swell bonus.

swell:
  height m: 1.1
  height ft: 3.6
  direction degrees: 201
  direction cardinal: SSW
  period s: 12
  explanation: 1.1m (3.6ft) swell from 201° (SSW) at 12s period
wind:
  speed kmh: 9
  speed mph: 5.6
  direction degrees: 249
  direction cardinal: WSW
  explanation: 9 km/h (6 mph) from 249° (WSW)
secondary swell:
  height m: 0.4
  direction degrees: 239
  direction cardinal: WSW
  period s: 13

date: 2026-08-08
day index: 4
strike score:
  final score: 32
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.89
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 18
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 210° is 10° off optimal 200°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 9
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.4m is 1.0m from ideal 2.4m.
    swell period:
      score: 8
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate period: 15s meets minimum 14s but below ideal 18s. Some groundswell energy present.
    wind:
      score: 5
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 12 km/h from 264° (W). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Pavones. Either swell direction (210°), size (1.4m), or wind (12 km/h from 264°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.4
    height ft: 4.6
    direction degrees: 210
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 15
    explanation: 1.4m (4.6ft) swell from 210° (SSW) at 15s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 12
    speed mph: 7.5
    direction degrees: 264
    direction cardinal: W
    explanation: 12 km/h (7 mph) from 264° (W)

date: 2026-08-09
day index: 5
strike score:
  final score: 38
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.86
  confidence explanation: Moderate confidence (4-5 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 23
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good alignment: Swell from 198° is 2° off optimal 200°, still within prime range.
    swell size:
      score: 8
      out of: 25
      explanation: Marginal size: 1.2m is 1.2m from ideal 2.4m.
    swell period:
      score: 8
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate period: 15s meets minimum 14s but below ideal 18s. Some groundswell energy present.
    wind:
      score: 7
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 11 km/h from 241° (WSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Pavones. Either swell direction (198°), size (1.2m), or wind (11 km/h from 241°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1.2
    height ft: 3.9
    direction degrees: 198
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 15
    explanation: 1.2m (3.9ft) swell from 198° (SSW) at 15s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 11
    speed mph: 6.8
    direction degrees: 241
    direction cardinal: WSW
    explanation: 11 km/h (7 mph) from 241° (WSW)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 248
    direction cardinal: WSW
    period s: 9

date: 2026-08-10
day index: 6
strike score:
  final score: 31
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.83
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 22
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good alignment: Swell from 196° is 4° off optimal 200°, still within prime range.
    swell size:
      score: 3
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 0.9m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 6
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate period: 14s meets minimum 14s but below ideal 18s. Some groundswell energy present.
    wind:
      score: 9
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 10 km/h from 274° (W). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Pavones. Either swell direction (196°), size (0.9m), or wind (10 km/h from 274°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.9
    height ft: 3.0
    direction degrees: 196
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 14
    explanation: 0.9m (3.0ft) swell from 196° (SSW) at 14s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 10
    speed mph: 6.2
    direction degrees: 274
    direction cardinal: W
    explanation: 10 km/h (6 mph) from 274° (W)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 202
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 15

date: 2026-08-11
day index: 7
strike score:
  final score: 30
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Low confidence (6-7 day forecast)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 23
      out of: 25
      explanation: Good alignment: Swell from 198° is 2° off optimal 200°, still within prime range.
    swell size:
      score: 2
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 0.6m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 14
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate period: 16s meets minimum 14s but below ideal 18s. Some groundswell energy present.
    wind:
      score: 5
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 12 km/h from 259° (W). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Pavones. Either swell direction (198°), size (0.6m), or wind (12 km/h from 259°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 0.6
    height ft: 2.0
    direction degrees: 198
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 16
    explanation: 0.6m (2.0ft) swell from 198° (SSW) at 16s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 12
    speed mph: 7.5
    direction degrees: 259
    direction cardinal: W
    explanation: 12 km/h (7 mph) from 259° (W)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 201
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 13

date: 2026-08-12
day index: 8
strike score:
  final score: 40
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 19
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 192° is 8° off optimal 200°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 3
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 1.0m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 14
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate period: 16s meets minimum 14s but below ideal 18s. Some groundswell energy present.
    wind:
      score: 4
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 13 km/h from 243° (WSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Pavones. Either swell direction (192°), size (1.0m), or wind (13 km/h from 243°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1
    height ft: 3.3
    direction degrees: 192
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 16
    explanation: 1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 192° (SSW) at 16s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 13
    speed mph: 8.1
    direction degrees: 243
    direction cardinal: WSW
    explanation: 13 km/h (8 mph) from 243° (WSW)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.4
    direction degrees: 225
    direction cardinal: SW
    period s: 12

date: 2026-08-13
day index: 9
strike score:
  final score: 27
  category: Poor
  category emoji: 💤
  confidence: 0.8
  confidence explanation: Very low confidence (8-10 day forecast, conditions may change)
  breakdown:
    swell direction:
      score: 18
      out of: 25
      explanation: Moderate alignment: Swell from 190° is 10° off optimal 200°, workable but not ideal.
    swell size:
      score: 3
      out of: 25
      explanation: Too small: 1.0m is below minimum 1.2m. Waves will be weak/mushy.
    swell period:
      score: 4
      out of: 25
      explanation: Short period: 13s is below minimum 14s. Windswell-dominated (choppy, weak waves).
    wind:
      score: 11
      out of: 25
      explanation: Onshore/cross-shore: 9 km/h from 240° (WSW). Destroying wave quality. Offshore range: 45°-135°.
  adjustments:
    wind history:
      adjustment: 0
      groomed: false
      morning sickness: false
      explanation: No significant wind history adjustment.
    windswell penalty:
      adjustment: 0
      windswell degraded: false
      explanation: Groundswell-dominant conditions (clean, long-period waves).
    secondary swell bonus:
      adjustment: 0
      explanation: No secondary swell bonus.
  summary: Poor conditions at Pavones. Either swell direction (190°), size (1.0m), or wind (9 km/h from 240°) is unfavorable. Consider other spots or wait for better conditions.
conditions:
  swell:
    height m: 1
    height ft: 3.3
    direction degrees: 190
    direction cardinal: S
    period s: 13
    explanation: 1.0m (3.3ft) swell from 190° (S) at 13s period
  wind:
    speed kmh: 9
    speed mph: 5.6
    direction degrees: 240
    direction cardinal: WSW
    explanation: 9 km/h (6 mph) from 240° (WSW)
  secondary swell:
    height m: 0.5
    direction degrees: 206
    direction cardinal: SSW
    period s: 13

Strike Mission
type: Organization